Originally posted by LazarusTheLong
Libra, while i respect your opinions and data, they don't address the simple fact that we are living in a honeymoon time right now... as oil becomes
more expensive (with more scarcity), other options will need to become available.
Oh, to be sure! I couldn't agree more. However, oil only accounts around 2% of the electricity produced in the US. The rest goes to either petrol gas
or industrial uses. So finding a replacement for the oil, like biodiesel, doesn't solve the energy crunch for electricity.
According to
this site, the
US Electricity Production By Source breaks down as
follows:
Coal 53%
Gas 16%
Nuclear 21%
Hydro 7%
Oil 2%
Other 1%
Other sites list oil as 1% of the total electrical suppliers, so give the whole chart a 1% margin of error.
Anyway, we don't need to worry about the Oil Peak to resolve the problem of electricity. We need to worry about the pollution levels.
We don't have a
supply problem with supplying electricity, and we sure as hell don't have an oil problem with it. The problem is the
pollution levels from coal are extremely high and extremely dangerous, and natural gas, while relatively cleaner, isn't a lot better of an option for
the long run, as it's still moderate pollution, yet they both account for 69% of our sources of electricity.
28,421,000,000,000 kWatts is what we use per year.
19,610,490,000,000 of those kWatts produce more pollutants than most any other source used.
I'm fine with the current nuclear power usage. It's proven to be safe, and though the waste is toxic and radioactive, it's not nearly as bad as the
public makes it out to be. To be honest, you've actually got a lot more to worry about from a coal power plant than you do a nuclear one. Nuclear
plants burn VERY clean, and their waste can be stored way below ground where no one will ever notice it until the three-headed trolls emerge to wage
war on humanity... or it can be fired into the sun, or something...
However, I'm not real keen on building a whole lot more of them, either. I'd be comfortable with about 25% of our needs being supplied by nuclear.
That would alleviate 4% of the demand currently being met by coal, or 1,136,840,000,000 kWatts.
18,473,650,000,000 to go...
How do you propose we fill it? A bit at a time. That's cool. We can do some wind power here, some solar power there, and maybe account for another 5%
(1% with wind, and 4% with solar) if we made maximum use of these resources. This accounts for 1,421,050,000,000 kWatts.
17,052,600,000,000 to go...
Where do we go from here, in a cost effective manner.
Trust me, of all the people here, I probably have the most vested interest in this working, but the math has to be done before action can be taken.
Like OTS said, "quick, cheap, good" pick two.
Originally posted by LazarusTheLong
We can not hide our head in the sand and say "nothing is as good as oil, so give up"
Nor can we hide our head in the sand and refuse to look at facts before assumptions, and consequences before implementation. See the above. We don't
depend on oil for our electricity.
I'm 100% on board with biodiesel. As far as I'm concerned, it's the wave of the future. Hooray Biodiesel!
That's great for our cars... what about our HOUSES? Our JOBS? At least 98% don't use oil for electricity.
We can't depend on biodiesel for electric use. We have to keep enough landmass available to account for future growth, have room to live, grow food,
and work. That and biodiesel still isn't exactly clean, it's just a lot cleaner than burning petrol gasoline, meaning it still emits some poisons,
and the more we need, the more it will pollute...
Power Plants are not built on the fly, they are EXTREMELY expensive, perhaps the most expensive item a city can "buy". They are not designed with
5-20 years in mind, they have to be designed for 25-75 years in mind. City planning is critical in this. And this is why, while I'm all for trying to
find a better way, I'm trying to keep a foot in the reality of the situation.
Originally posted by pavil
Libra, very informative and thanks. I don't claim to know enough about it just what the professor who is working with the company I mentioned told
me. While it may not be a cure all, at least it is a step in the right direction using current off the shelf technologies that will be improved on in
the future.
Hmmm... Well, as Lazarus pointed out, the right tech for the right place is a good start as well. In Illanois, a wind-turbine on top of each of the
skyscrapers, and perhaps even between buildings, would alleviate some of the power needs. In California, solar-cell roofs on each home would do the
same... but these methods cannot replace the current need, only lend a very small shoulder the burden.
Originally posted by pavil
I don't think one "alternative energy source" will ever replace oil, however a combination of various sources will become feasible once cheap oil
is gone. Having viable economic models in place when this happens will be a major determiner in what "source-'s" become the dominant players in
the future.
Agreed. However, as mentioned earlier in this same post, oil for electricity really isn't a problem anywhere in the near future. It's oil for gas
that could be a problem, but one easily solvable by biodiesel. But Biodiesel is more expensive than gas... However, like you said, when cheap oil runs
out, the biodiesel prices will look appealing by comparison.
Originally posted by pavil
Just using the wind turbine as an example it looks like one could produce enough energy to power about 146 homes or 4.6 city blocks. I could put up
with another eyesore and earsore( there are enough of them to go around) if it meant that my electrical bill went away.
Rest assured, my friend, it would not go away. Power never comes free.
There will be battery replacements, fan replacements, setup, infrastructure, grid revamps, and so froth. However, it might be might keep your bill
from rising to astronomical levels.
Originally posted by pavil
I only use wind since that is the one that interests me at the moment. For example in my City of Roseville MI, a suburb of Detroit we have 10 sq.
miles and about 20,000 households. Using the numbers Libra came up with it would need about 136 turbines to meet the needs of all the households. The
sq. miles would only allow for 120 and you could never get that many in a city. Still it would be possible to meet almost all the household electrical
needs of my city's households if a community were planned out properly. I know this isn't feasible large scale as you have shown Libra but it gives
an idea of what could be done now with existing technology.
Well, the largest users of electricity aren't households, they're high-density manufacturing and commercial buildings. It varies from city to city,
but you can pretty much take the household consumption and quadruple it to get a very conservative estimate on the total energy needs of a city. After
all, people need jobs, jobs need infrastructure, infrastructure requires education, etc...
Originally posted by pavil
What technology or combinations at the home level has the best possiblity for at least making your home energy independent, at least for electrical
purposes? I'm sure it would be a combination of things, lets hear some ideas that are practical at a homeowner level.
Well, as
subz pointed out, one of the most effective methods of alleviating power consumption is in
using less power
Some examples of energy saving are as follows:
- REPLACE YOUR WINDOWS - People buy cheap windows to save a buck, then
quietly accept a three-figure electric or heating bill in hot or cold weather. Your windows are the single-greatest energy sink in the house. They let
heat in in the summer, let it out in the winter, and are responsible for upwards of 25-75% of the energy you spend on A/C or heat. And if you live in
Texas, like I do, that's about 75% of your bill, right there. So what can you do?
- Multi-paned windows - Windows' insulating efficiency is measured by it's U-value. The lower the U-value, the better. The U-value
represents heat conductivity (or rather, loss). Metal, a great heat conductor, is a terribly inefficient frame for windows. For a single-paned window,
you're looking at a U-value of 1.1 For a double-paned window, 0.55 and for a triple-pained window, you can approach 0.333 or lower.
- Gas chambers - For yet more efficiency (about 20% more) you can get windows with an inert gas (like argon) between the panes.
- Low-E Windows - Low-E, short for Low-Emissivity, is an advance that adds a clear coating on double-paned windows which reflects and absorbs
heat, depending on the way it's used. If done properly, you can reflect 70-75% of your heat back into the house during the winter, and reflect 25%
more head back outside during the summer.
To get the best results, get triple-paned, inert-gas-filled, low-E treated windows with non-metal frames. (about $1300 ea.)
- Proper Insulation Requires ALL sides insulated - Other
energy-sinks you may or may not be aware of are walls, ceilings, and foundation/floors. A house's insulation is measured by it's R-value. The higher
the value, the better the insulation. Most homes have about a R-11 value in the exterior walls, an R-19 in the ceiling, while the interior walls and
floor may not be insulated at all. The same house, properly insulated can range from R-20 to R-30 in the walls, and R-50 to R-70 in the ceilings.
- Weatherstripping and Caulking - Every inch of your home's
thermal envelope should be sealed. Use Caulk for holes and leaks, use weather-stripping for windows and doors. This will reduce your utility costs by
as much as 50%.
- Properly sized Heating and Cooling Systems - The price of the
extra insulation, windows, and suchlike for your house can easily be recaptured here. A superbly insulated home does not need a large air-conditioning
system, or a large heating system, because you don't have to fight against remotely as much energy loss. As such, a humble floor unit, or fan will
more than likely take care of any temperature discomfort, saving thousands of dollars on central air. However, if you absolutely have to have central
air, you can take comfort in that you can get by on the smallest model with plenty to spare.
- Buy strictly Energy-Star appliances - Energy Star-labled appliances
exceed the required minimum efficiency standards by a large percentage. Then compare the "EnergyGuide label" of each Energy-Star labeled appliance
of the type you want to buy. Some of them exceed the standards by as much as 75%.
If these methods of energy-conservation in buildings were the
standard, and not the exception, we would probably lower the overall power
consumption of cities by as much as 10-25% (that includes things that insulation has no control over). As far as private homes are concerned, it would
be more like 50-80% less energy used. That kind of savings alone is worth billions upon billions in electricity each year.
9,947,350,000,000 to go...
Originally posted by Off_The_Street
Libra, you weenie, it is totally unfair that you get one of those "Above Top Secret" medals and I don't, when I am much handsomer and more
modest than you are and don't have much time left to get mine, being old and all.
So I am probably making a big mistake by doing this and ruining my chances for a medal, but, anyway:
You have voted thelibra for the Way Above Top Secret award. You have one more vote left for this month.
Aw shucks, that's mighty cool of you, daddy-o. And amusing as well, since I just voted you for Way Above just before my previous post.
Originally posted by Hellmutt
What about waves? Wave-technology needs more research. There are already experiments in process. I´m sure it could be done using the right materials.
Wear and tear from the sea is a problem. Sunlight can be blocked, winds can be too strong or too weak, but there will always be tides as long as we
have our moon. The next big invention will be a wave-powerplant...
I'll have to look into wave-plants, but from what I understand, their damage to the underwater ecosystem is as bad as hydro-dams are to ecosystem on
land.