I've been criticized in some circles for suggesting that if the election is rigged the right will revolt. Those doing the criticizing usually tell me
that a biden win doesn't mean it's rigged (remember the hillary shirt: 'it's not rigged, you're just losing!" lol). I agree with them, it's not the
outcome that will prove it's rigged or not.
Biden could win, trump could win, it could be an electoral tie. The key is for it to be a legitimate
election. So how will we know?
A few good indicators I can think of:
1) Huge turnout of dems on election day compared to republicans, this would be a big red flag
2) A large number of post election ballots that skew heavily in one candidates favor over another
3) Large number of republican crossover votes to dems
4) Turnout exceeds eligible voters
5) Governors sending multiple delegations of electors
Let me explain each one in a little more detail:
1) We know dems prefer to vote early in a normal election cycle. This year that should be even more pronounced. You don't have to believe the msm
polls to know that liberals are far more freaked out about covid than republicans. We've seen this play out on both macro and micro levels. Currently
the dems are not doing well in early voting in the swing states. This doesn't bode well for their electoral chances. An attempt to say they all waited
until election day to vote should be viewed with extreme skepticism.
2) Some states allow ballots to arrive after election day and yes, if a box of ballots was lost or slowed down from a certain area they might skew
heavily one direction. However, that should not happen in large numbers. The distribution of random events should be fairly even if they're truly
random mistakes. So an example would be a few thousand votes arriving late from, say philly. Yeah they might lean 80% biden, that's normal. But if say
20,000 ballots magically show up, that's not normal. Remember, in 2012 obama received more votes in philly than there were eligible voters. That was
fraud. It didn't matter though because he won way more states than needed.
3) In 2016 trump had a number of defectors from the GOP. The main fear among these people was that he was a racist and dictator wannabe. Four years
later that's demonstrably untrue. While yes, there will still be defectors, there will be fewer than 2016. Also, we know that throughout the last few
years trump has enjoyed the highest republican approval ratings of any republican president. Defections should be viewed skeptically, especially in
4) I already pointed out the 2012 issue with obama in philly. If we start to see a pattern of eligible voters being exceeded by actual voters in
democrat areas, that will be a major indicator that they're trying to fix the election.
5) This one is post election, but it is one of the things the dems wargamed in their TIP scenarios. Rather than letting trump win states with dem
governors (see Northam in VA, wolfe in PA, or whitmer in MI) they may try to send a separate group of electors to the senate to be counted. In this
case, two groups of electors show up (one from gov, other from legislature) and the senate has to decide which group counts.
Any one of these things by itself (other than number 5) probably won't be enough to sway the election and shouldn't be viewed automatically as fraud.
But if we start to see a bunch of these things happen, it's probably not a legitimate election.
I personally think trump is going to win handily. Early voting is favoring republicans. Republicans are more likely to vote in person and on election
day, by a huge margin. Momentum is with trump. Republicans still have a huge number of super-voters (voters who have voted in each of the last 4
elections) compared to dems, out there ready to vote.
If I'm right and trump wins, don't loot. Go home and come up with ideas that appeal to more people. Sure you might not like that some people don't
agree with you that white people are the root of all evil, but maybe forgo that idea for a while. I don't like that some people think they should be
safe more than free, but I'll entertain their needs because they can also help me achieve my needs. This is how democracy works. We don't get 100% of
what we want all of the time. We have to entertain the wants and needs of others and satisfy as many people as possible.
If I'm wrong and biden wins, and it's legitimate, don't whine. Get ready to #resist but know that we have our work cut out for us. No need for
violence or looting or destruction (those aren't what the right does anyway). Civil disobedience and holding your local leaders accountable will be
the best next steps.
If I'm wrong and biden wins, and it's through fraud.... well, we'll cross that bridge if it comes to that.
Anyway, if you know of or have other ideas of what might constitute evidence of a fraudulent election, please put it in the comments here!
on 31-10-2020 by Dfairlite because: (no reason given)
edit on 31-10-2020 by Dfairlite because: (no reason given)