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Poll Numbers Leading Up to the Huge November 3rd 2020 Election.

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posted on Sep, 9 2020 @ 10:32 PM
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originally posted by: RickinVa
I have to make a 2 hour drive through rural Kentucky this afternoon.

I will be counting the Biden/Trump signs.

I did this in 2016 when I had to drive through rural West Virginia....Trump signs out numbered Hillary signs by about 20 to 1....and the polls were saying that Hillary couldn't lose.


I will post my results later.



Well, that was interesting in approx 100 miles through various small communities.

There was 1 Biden sign and 0 Trump signs that that either, I , or my passenger saw......the total lack of signs wasn't expected. In 2016, there were lots of signs.




posted on Sep, 10 2020 @ 09:19 PM
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Since most of the big National polls are (for some reason) weighted with more Democrat than Republican responders...


Proof?


This is something the pollsters didn't do in 2016, which is part of the reason why almost all of them underestimated candidate Trump's odds of winning, which caused them to predict that Hillary Clinton would win handily.


No, Clinton won the popular vote by margins that were close to what the national polls predicted. Reporters (not pollsters) over-estimated Clinton's support in key states like Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Michigan. Those were states where candidate Trump won by less than the margin of error for most of the polls conducted in those states.

Trump won Michigan by less than 12,000 votes out of over 4.5 million cast. That's less than 0.5%. No poll would dare claim a margin of error that low.

Pennsylvania was won by a similar margin; 68,000 votes out of nearly 6 million cast, less than 0.4%.

If you want to know how close the election really is then look at the polls taken state by state, then look at how close the poll is and, finally, look at the margin of error.



posted on Sep, 13 2020 @ 12:25 AM
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a reply to: links234
Thank-you for the detailed analysis. I'm not here to discuss. Just to post interesting poll and vote related information.

Here's one I came across today...showing how many people have left the Democrat party in Pennsylvania. Along with a significant gain in Republican and Independent registered voters in Pennsylvania.

Source: qagg.news...



posted on Sep, 13 2020 @ 12:12 PM
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a reply to: carewemust

Both Democrats and Republicans have gained in Pennsylvania. Democrats have gained about 30,000 voters while Republicans have gained about 165,000. It's a significant difference but Democrats are still a majority in that state with around 800,000 registered voters.

So this notion that people are fleeing one party for the other doesn't really hold up given that both parties have seen a net gain to their registered voter numbers. Pennsylvania seems to be the outlier though with registered voter gains that large.



posted on Sep, 14 2020 @ 01:31 AM
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a reply to: links234

It seems that both sides are succeeding with their voter registration drives in Pennsylvania. I suppose the increase in voters registered as "Independents" stems from people reaching voting age and registering that way, and Dem/Repubs becoming Independents.



posted on Sep, 14 2020 @ 01:33 AM
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The continued large turnouts for President Trump's appearances, as shown in this video clip from Nevada

twitter.com...

Speaks volumes. We saw this in 2016, even though the polls had candidate Trump underwater the whole time.



posted on Sep, 14 2020 @ 01:42 AM
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Flashback, from this week in 2016.

Trump gaining on Clinton: www.cnbc.com...

Sounds like what's happening right now, with Trump gaining on Biden.

But the way the articles are worded is less "Trump friendly".

Example from 9.13.2020: www.cnn.com...



posted on Sep, 15 2020 @ 03:56 AM
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9.15.2020

Polling organizations know what they're doing. They are intentionally taking us for FOOLS.

ABC-IPSOS’S NEW POLL – WHICH OSTENSIBLY SHOWS PRESIDENT TRUMP IN TROUBLE – SURVEYED JUST 533 PEOPLE, WITHOUT A PREFERENCE FOR LIKELY OR REGISTERED VOTERS, AND WITH A SIGNIFICANT DEMOCRATIC PARTY SKEW.

The poll – cited across the news media on Sunday – purported to show the public at odds with the President over the coronavirus pandemic as well as the widely debunked story about his supposedly derogatory comments about the military.

But the poll is almost less scientific than a Twitter survey, given who was polled, and in what percentages and ratios.

STACKING THE DECK.

In total, the poll quizzed 31 percent Democrats, and just 25 percent Republicans. The pollsters also surveyed 38 percent self-identified independents.

In a telling detail, pollster Ipsos actually refused to reveal these party breakdown numbers on their website and in their PDF of the poll.

Instead, they opaquely state: “Party ID benchmarks are from recent ABC News/Washington Post telephone polls.”

Recent ABC/Washington Post polls also stacked the decks in favor of Biden supporters, with the July polling quizzing 522 Biden supporters versus 399 Trump supporters. That amounts to a 27 percent inbuilt bias for Biden supporters.

ABC News itself was more up front about the numbers, revealing the stark difference between Democrats and Republicans surveyed.

‘GENERAL POPULATION POLLED’

The poll also failed to approach registered, or likely voters: a key factor when attempting to rely on polling as a means by which to inform an election.
Continued at: thenationalpulse.com... s/

NONE of the pollsters apologized after blowing it in November 2016, because from their perspective they didn't get anything wrong, except their attempt to deceive. That attempt FAILED.

But as we know, "Insanity" is executing the same failed exercise over and over...and expecting different results. The polling organizations in 2020 epitomize "Insanity".



posted on Sep, 15 2020 @ 04:29 AM
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originally posted by: links234
a reply to: carewemust

Both Democrats and Republicans have gained in Pennsylvania. Democrats have gained about 30,000 voters while Republicans have gained about 165,000. It's a significant difference but Democrats are still a majority in that state with around 800,000 registered voters.

So this notion that people are fleeing one party for the other doesn't really hold up given that both parties have seen a net gain to their registered voter numbers. Pennsylvania seems to be the outlier though with registered voter gains that large.


I am a registered democrat.

I am a registered democrat for a reason, and it has *nothing* to do with party affiliation.

Many people are both stupid & predictable - which is what the major parties are counting on.

I am neither.

And that makes me and those like me very dangerous.



posted on Sep, 16 2020 @ 02:26 PM
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President Trump has closed the Gap and is now even in the key state of Florida.

apnews.com...




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