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Poll Numbers Leading Up to the Huge November 3rd 2020 Election.

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posted on Sep, 8 2020 @ 11:58 PM
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September 8, 2020

With less than 60 days before an election that has huge ramifications for America at the Local, State, and National levels, it's time to start examining POLLING TRENDS.

Since most of the big National polls are (for some reason) weighted with more Democrat than Republican responders, there probably needs to be 2 or 3 extra points added to President Trump's percentages.

This is something the pollsters didn't do in 2016, which is part of the reason why almost all of them underestimated candidate Trump's odds of winning, which caused them to predict that Hillary Clinton would win handily.

-------------

While not a poll, the "Primary Model" has correctly predicted the winner of 25 of the past 27 Presidential elections. In 2016, it correctly predicted that Donald Trump would beat Hillary Clinton. Here in 2020, the Primary Model predicts President Donald Trump will be re-elected by defeating Joseph Biden.

Primary Model's 2020 Prediction website: primarymodel.com...

-------------

Also, Rasmussen/CNN report on "Enthusiasm", says 67% of Trump voters are voting Specifically for him.

And 58% of Biden voters are voting AGAINST Trump...not FOR Joe Biden. These voters are "tepid".

More at: www.americanpatriotdaily.com...

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In FLORIDA, President Trump has closed the gap, and is now dead even with Democrat Joe Biden.

WASHINGTON β€” President Donald Trump and Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden are deadlocked in the battleground of Florida eight weeks before Election Day, with ballots being mailed to state voters later this month, according to a new NBC News/Marist poll.

Trump and Biden both get the support of 48 percent of likely voters, with the president ahead among Latinos in the state, and Biden doing better with seniors than Hillary Clinton did four years ago.
More at: www.nbcnews.com...

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Like Florida, President Trump has also closed the gap in the swing-state of PENNSYLVANIA. Trump and Biden are now in a statistical "dead heat".

Source: www.pennlive.com...

---------------

Here is a decent non-biased analysis from Politico entitled: "The 8 states where 2020 will be won or lost: A POLITICO deep dive. Within each of these swing states, the roadmap ahead for President Donald Trump and Joe Biden is clear."

The analysis - dtd 9.8.2020: www.politico.com...

---------------

I'll add to this thread as we move closer to November 3rd. Useful contributions from ATS colleagues are appreciated!

-CareWeMust
edit on 9/9/2020 by carewemust because: (no reason given)

edit on 9-9-2020 by DrumsRfun because: caps




posted on Sep, 9 2020 @ 12:14 AM
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originally posted by: carewemust
September 8, 2020

With less than 60 days before an election that has huge ramifications for America at the Local, State, and National levels, it's time to start examining POLLING TRENDS.

Since most of the big National polls are (for some reason) weighted with more Democrat than Republican responders, there probably needs to be 2 or 3 extra points added to President Trump's percentages.

This is something the pollsters didn't do in 2016, which is part of the reason why almost all of them underestimated candidate Trump's odds of winning, which caused them to predict that Hillary Clinton would win handily.

-------------

While not a poll, the "Primary Model" has correctly predicted the winner of 25 of the past 27 Presidential elections. In 2016, it correctly predicted that Donald Trump would beat Hillary Clinton. Here in 2020, the Primary Model predicts President Donald Trump will be re-elected by defeating Joseph Biden.

Primary Model's 2020 Prediction website: primarymodel.com...

-------------

Also, Rasmussen/CNN report on "Enthusiasm", says 67% of Trump voters are voting Specifically for him.

And 58% of Biden voters are voting AGAINST Trump...not FOR Joe Biden. These voters are "tepid".

More at: www.americanpatriotdaily.com...

-------------

In FLORIDA, President Trump has closed the gap, and is now dead even with Democrat Joe Biden.

WASHINGTON β€” President Donald Trump and Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden are deadlocked in the battleground of Florida eight weeks before Election Day, with ballots being mailed to state voters later this month, according to a new NBC News/Marist poll.

Trump and Biden both get the support of 48 percent of likely voters, with the president ahead among Latinos in the state, and Biden doing better with seniors than Hillary Clinton did four years ago.
More at: www.nbcnews.com...

-------------

More to come... Useful contributions from ATS colleagues are appreciated!


-CareWeMust

www.americanpatriotdaily.com...
this is a conspiracy news outlet and byt the logic and the headline a white supremacist site



posted on Sep, 9 2020 @ 12:19 AM
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In a local poll conducted in my living room, one lifelong Democrat is NOT voting for any Democrats this election. She is my much younger wife that actually hosted a Trump bashing pinata party in 2016. Her sister, same thing... lifelong democrat flipped after all the BS with Gavin Newsom, Nancy Pelosi and the extreme rhetoric of the left. Many of their friends are in the same category.

This may seem anecdotal but I think it's an important indicator; when I say lifelong lefties that's what they "were" but thanks to the absolute insanity of 2020, they ain't drinking the kool aid anymore. And what's more, they don't really go around talking much about their change of heart. If they were to be polled or asked, they'd likely lie about it and I don't fault them for that. These days your political beliefs can get you killed...



posted on Sep, 9 2020 @ 12:19 AM
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The polls do not account for the fear factor that has been instilled in Trump supporters and conservatives.

I know that myself and my conservative friends won't talk to pollsters or political callers. Why?

We know that if the "wrong" person knows we plan to vote for Trump we can expect:
to be doxed
to be social media bullied
to have the person try and get us fired
to have our business destroyed or damaged through boycotts

A neighbor down the street was stupid enough to put up a Trump sign in her yard. It was quickly vandalized as was her house. And I live in a conservative area.

Last election cycle I had a Trump bumper sticker and my car was keyed multiple times in parking lots.

A friend of mine said he was talking to a friend about Trump in a positive way and a stranger overheard and came up and verbally assaulted him. He said if he wasn't a very tall and large man he was positive the stranger would have physically assaulted him.

Many Trump supporters are like me, living in fear of a liberal leftist progressive Democrat finding out we plan to vote for Trump because we have seen what happens when Democrats find out someone is voting for Trump and it is not pretty.

To tell a stranger, which is what a pollster is, that you are voting for Trump is dangerous in this day and age. Who knows if the person doing the "polling" is really a pollster or not. Who knows what danger one could be in for telling a stranger that might be a liberal you plan to vote for Trump.

As a Senior citizen, for certain I would lie to anyone standing outside where I vote if pressured to answer for exit polling. I would not trust the person not to be a liberal who would verbally or physically assault me because tensions are so high and verbal and physical assaults are becoming so common when one doesn't say what a liberal expects to hear.

I read an article recently that called this the "shy factor" saying that many Trump supporters are shy about talking to pollsters. No, we are terrified of talking to pollsters and what might happen to us if a stranger finds out we plan to vote for Trump.


edit on 9/9/20 by The2Billies because: addition



posted on Sep, 9 2020 @ 12:21 AM
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Honestly, I have a hard time taking polls - any polls - seriously. It's become clear that polls done by the major propaganda outlets are no longer meant to gauge public sentiment, but to manipulate and control it.

However, if they are starting to admit that the President had a tiny lead, I suspect that to mean that he had an enormous lead and they just can't stuff the whole story under the rug so they're letting a little of it out. As long as they can claim that he had a small lead, the contesting of the election based on fraudulent mail in ballots will be a little easier to pull off. If they admit the fact that he has a massive lead, it would make the contestation more difficult.



posted on Sep, 9 2020 @ 12:23 AM
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originally posted by: THeGreaTZoiD

originally posted by: carewemust
September 8, 2020

With less than 60 days before an election that has huge ramifications for America at the Local, State, and National levels, it's time to start examining POLLING TRENDS.

Since most of the big National polls are (for some reason) weighted with more Democrat than Republican responders, there probably needs to be 2 or 3 extra points added to President Trump's percentages.

This is something the pollsters didn't do in 2016, which is part of the reason why almost all of them underestimated candidate Trump's odds of winning, which caused them to predict that Hillary Clinton would win handily.

-------------

While not a poll, the "Primary Model" has correctly predicted the winner of 25 of the past 27 Presidential elections. In 2016, it correctly predicted that Donald Trump would beat Hillary Clinton. Here in 2020, the Primary Model predicts President Donald Trump will be re-elected by defeating Joseph Biden.

Primary Model's 2020 Prediction website: primarymodel.com...

-------------

Also, Rasmussen/CNN report on "Enthusiasm", says 67% of Trump voters are voting Specifically for him.

And 58% of Biden voters are voting AGAINST Trump...not FOR Joe Biden. These voters are "tepid".

More at: www.americanpatriotdaily.com...

-------------

In FLORIDA, President Trump has closed the gap, and is now dead even with Democrat Joe Biden.

WASHINGTON β€” President Donald Trump and Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden are deadlocked in the battleground of Florida eight weeks before Election Day, with ballots being mailed to state voters later this month, according to a new NBC News/Marist poll.

Trump and Biden both get the support of 48 percent of likely voters, with the president ahead among Latinos in the state, and Biden doing better with seniors than Hillary Clinton did four years ago.
More at: www.nbcnews.com...

-------------

More to come... Useful contributions from ATS colleagues are appreciated!


-CareWeMust

www.americanpatriotdaily.com...
this is a conspiracy news outlet and byt the logic and the headline a white supremacist site

Keep in mind that the poll is real-world relevant, however you choose to label the website...aka "The messenger".



posted on Sep, 9 2020 @ 12:25 AM
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a reply to: The2Billies

I don't talk to them just because I know that they are all liars and are full of crap and would not hesitate to twist anything I might say to their political avantage. I will provide them no fodder. I have absolutely no respect for them, and I offer nothing to anyone for whom I have no respect. They can kiss my white hairy butt, as far as I'm concerned. I ain't talkin' to 'em.



posted on Sep, 9 2020 @ 12:26 AM
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a reply to: odd1out
A very astute and accurate observation, Odd1Out. And congrats for having such a smart/wise/intuitive wife!



posted on Sep, 9 2020 @ 12:26 AM
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I still have in laws that plan to vote for Biden. They have asked me for redpills. I will give them soon. They are at this point 100% CNN hypnotized. They have no idea of what they can see of the "internets" and my mother in law actually told me she is "afraid" of the internets. Please give her pause, she is 75 years old and hasn't left her house (nor her husband) since March because of COVID. CNN is killing them with the lonely.
edit on 9-9-2020 by Fools because: trump oops



posted on Sep, 9 2020 @ 12:33 AM
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a reply to: The2Billies

Ironically, Joe Biden campaign spending is DWARFING what President Trump is spending. But like his DNC Convention, the Advertisements are back-firing.

CNN is setting itself up for another bad Election day, LOL: www.cnn.com...

With President Trump gaining on Biden, despite so many "silent" Trump supporters, and Biden's massive spending, and the Democrat-weighted polls...We may be looking at a LandSlide in 2 months.



posted on Sep, 9 2020 @ 12:36 AM
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a reply to: carewemust
Yes, she's coming around 😁
I've been trying to get her to see a few things over the years, 14 years that is, but I'd mostly given up. The current regime in California accomplished in just a few months what I had been trying to do for years. Honestly, the change in her is so drastic it's almost scary... it's like she awakened from a coma into a world she didn't recognize anymore. She screams at the TV nowadays πŸ˜‚πŸ˜‚πŸ˜‚ so it's brought us closer together because now we can scream in unison πŸ‘πŸ˜



posted on Sep, 9 2020 @ 12:37 AM
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a reply to: carewemust

At least when Hillary cancelled the fireworks we knew she knew...



posted on Sep, 9 2020 @ 12:38 AM
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a reply to: incoserv

What I don't understand, is they claim Trump could win due to mail in ballot fraud, all the while mailing out ballots to everyone. It's like they want to set the stage to contest his win. And they aren't even hiding it.



posted on Sep, 9 2020 @ 12:40 AM
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a reply to: incoserv

I saw a CNN-Orka poll in October 2016 that showed Donald Trump in the lead Nationwide over Hillary Clinton by 7 points. CNN chose not to publish it, but a whistle-blower posted it online. Didn't stay there long though.



posted on Sep, 9 2020 @ 12:52 AM
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a reply to: Fools

My full-blown "listen to the authorities!" Democrat/Trump-hating wife accidentally saw a Sean Hannity segment tonight.

The segment was of Joe Biden's visible Dementia and Strange speech over the past couple of months, and the lady in the Kenosha church telling Joe that she would not lie for him, inside a house of worship.

Wife had no idea Joe Biden was so far gone..and even shady, due to asking a lady to lie in church.

CNN/ABC/CBS, etc., have, and continue to do an excellent job of hiding Joe Biden's many weaknesses. They don't even show him speaking any more! Instead, the reporters tell the viewers what Joe Biden's key points were during his "rousing emotionally charged speech".



posted on Sep, 9 2020 @ 12:55 AM
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a reply to: odd1out
I hear in California there could be some major shakeups in local races, with more Republicans ousting Democrats.



posted on Sep, 9 2020 @ 12:57 AM
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originally posted by: matafuchs
a reply to: carewemust

At least when Hillary cancelled the fireworks we knew she knew...


Thanks for reminding me of that! What clues should be look for from the Biden campaign that they're on the ropes, or know "it's over"?



posted on Sep, 9 2020 @ 01:21 AM
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originally posted by: new_here
a reply to: incoserv

What I don't understand, is they claim Trump could win due to mail in ballot fraud, all the while mailing out ballots to everyone. It's like they want to set the stage to contest his win. And they aren't even hiding it.


Democrats always accuse the other side of what they themselves are guilty of. A whole lot of mailed-in Republican ballots will disappear. That's why President Trump is telling everyone at rallies to check on election day to see if your ballot has been received. If it has not, vote in person. (Low IQ Democrats say he's advising his followers to vote twice.)



posted on Sep, 9 2020 @ 02:13 AM
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tell the biden eimhoff ticket that we voted for Trump ....not because we love him

li's like he is not an end to itself, but merely a means to the end in Scripture....

the lady's last name is not harris
edit on 9-9-2020 by GBP/JPY because: (no reason given)



posted on Sep, 9 2020 @ 02:34 AM
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a reply to: GBP/JPY

Joe Biden has decided to visit the state of Michigan today. Why? Because his internal polling is flashing red "Danger!" lights for his chances of winning in the Wolverine state.

Guess what his theme will be? "America First"!

"No Malarkey" flopped.

"Build Back Better" never caught on.

"America First" has worked for President Trump, so why not for plagiarist Joe.

Article on Biden's 9/9/2020 visit to Michigan (Warning. Contains a Funny Meme): theconservativetreehouse.com...




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