Prediction about the Coronavirus and our Economy on ATS in Late January — It came true

So last night I was on ATS and I had a thought. What happened to this person? Haven’t seen them post in a while. So I went to the search engine and typed in their name. He popped right up as well as his last threads . Ironically, I remember the last two threads that he wrote.

I remember the second to last thread vividly, because he spoke of the coronavirus and how it was going to crash our economy. The first thread he wrote was on January 31. To say it was prophetic, is an understatement.

I Remember the thread vividly. Due to the fact that I was at a hotel in Albuquerque. Traveling my way across the country, after just picking up a new vehicle to add to my fleet. I remember being pissed when I read it. How dare he say the economy is crashing — when I’m expanding my business!

Goes to show what turning a blind eye does. Well, to say the least, I believe the threads deserve another look.

First prediction January 31st.
www.abovetopsecret.com...

Second prediction February 8th.
www.abovetopsecret.com...

a reply to: KKLOCO

If you do a little more research on that particular poster, he claimed the economy was going to crash because of ____ about every 3 months or so.... for years.

Just sayin...

Oh I recall all the fear mongering. But I can’t throw the baby out with the bath water on this one.

He was pretty specific about the how’s in those threads. And spot on.

Now in hindsight 20/20. Should we downplay his predictions of economic collapse?

What if, yea a virus was on the loose, a known fact. And a reason was needed to completely force American business in foreign countries to repatriate "as the US is about the only one who could afford the collateral damage for a moderate to swift recovery' China would be canceled out as an importer in a short time. Remember they are going to be hit just as bad, no matter what the media reports.

What if..... it's to divorce us and China, start our own recovery and NEW DEAL "the economic measures introduced by President Franklin D. Roosevelt in 1933 to counteract the effects of the Great Depression. It involved a massive public works program, complemented by the large-scale granting of loans, and succeeded in reducing unemployment by between 7 and 10 million."

What if..... us and our New Friend INDIA join in mutual commerse and trade. What if we become stronger within the next four years under Trump...


What-if....... well, it's just a thought ?THAT prediction brings us to this juncture of today forward S&F by the way

a reply to: KKLOCO

That's not a prediction in the Woo-Woo sense. That's using common sense, logic and extrapolation of existing data. I pondered the same thing in January/February based on which strategies a country would choose to deal with the pandemic.

Now, if he'd made the same prediction for 2020 in January 2019, with no knowledge of Covid-19, THEN I would be mightily impressed!

You might say his was an air raid warning siren

a reply to: ConfusedBrit

Fair enough. What caught my eye was when he wrote it. I don’t think many people believed on January 31st, that we’d be where we are today. He did.

Maybe it was a prediction based on data. In any case, he was DEAD ON. When most people weren’t giving the virus a second thought at that time.

a reply to: Plotus

The only thing I’m predicting, is that our world has changed forever. What that change looks like — I have no clue. As this lockdown progresses, we are going to see more and more discontent.

Yes, and being the messenger........ everyone give him credit

It passed through many minds back in January. But it hit home on the TP rush.


a reply to: KKLOCO

originally posted by: KKLOCO
Oh I recall all the fear mongering. But I can’t throw the baby out with the bath water on this one.

He was pretty specific about the how’s in those threads. And spot on.

Now in hindsight 20/20. Should we downplay his predictions of economic collapse?

How long can the US economy survive with a broken supply chain?

prospect.org...

a reply to: Plotus

Doesn’t seem many took it too seriously until early March. I was one of those that didn’t want to believe Something like this could ever happen.

Should have been smart and gotten off the grid like Lumenari, years ago.

originally posted by: Lumenari
a reply to: KKLOCO

If you do a little more research on that particular poster, he claimed the economy was going to crash because of ____ about every 3 months or so.... for years.

Just sayin...

While you’re right about his ‘chicken little’ take every passing month, he was right about the truest indicator: an inverted yield curve. And he was ‘right’ given the historical lag following a true inversion: www.abovetopsecret.com...

And I saw a thread asserting a “Black Swan Event” — I have my reservations about the term but that’s not for now — with respect to the RONA, so I’m sure they’ll be debates ad nausem going forward.

But ‘predicting’ the market is a fool’s game and you don’t gotta be Eddie Lampert to know that.

originally posted by: KKLOCO
a reply to: Plotus

The only thing I’m predicting, is that our world has changed forever. What that change looks like — I have no clue. As this lockdown progresses, we are going to see more and more discontent.

The world has only changed forever if we allow it. As more time goes by more will dissent- and the government will either have to give in or arrest nearly everybody. There just isn't enough jail space or FEMA camps for all of that. Add to that the fact that a lot of these gung-ho governors are starting to back track on their re-opening plan timelines because the groups of restless natives are growing larger and larger and they just aren't that brave when faced with the reality that they could be booted out come election time. People will only stay home or wear masks for so long before they say to hell with it- come and get me!

originally posted by: ConfusedBrit
a reply to: KKLOCO

That's not a prediction in the Woo-Woo sense. That's using common sense, logic and extrapolation of existing data. I pondered the same thing in January/February based on which strategies a country would choose to deal with the pandemic.

Now, if he'd made the same prediction for 2020 in January 2019, with no knowledge of Covid-19, THEN I would be mightily impressed!

I have been watching this pandemic since before the first reported case here in the US. Some have the impulsiveness to explore effects into the near future. It's called contingency planning.
I was a lousy chess player, but I was a fairly good electronics technician and industrial electrician. You can't see those little electrons zipping back and forth along the wire. It requires imagination to be your best at any job. I got into the business just as old relay logic was giving way to 1's and 0's, thank goodness.

I need to go back and review some of my old predictions.

I've been expecting a drastic economic downturn since trump got elected and I regret that I have been proven correct.
And this is just the beginning.....in a few years the new "normal" will be unbearable.

Since when has the "trickle down" socialism for the wealthy, economic model ever worked?

originally posted by: olaru12

originally posted by: KKLOCO
Oh I recall all the fear mongering. But I can’t throw the baby out with the bath water on this one.

He was pretty specific about the how’s in those threads. And spot on.

Now in hindsight 20/20. Should we downplay his predictions of economic collapse?

How long can the US economy survive with a broken supply chain?

prospect.org...

I didn't read the article in the link but the supply chain can recover very quickly. So long as the factories are back to work, we can get the goods here. Air transport is on the upswing. It comes at a higher price than sea freight but it's a good short-term solution. Toilet paper may cost a bit more for the next few months but a gallon of gas is so cheap now, we can afford to pay more elsewhere.

I think we're going to be okay. Our biggest risk is having the Democrats do something stupid to try and win the election at the expense of our standard of living. Remember, politicians don't lose their jobs. They keep getting paid no matter what the economy looks like.

originally posted by: Lumenari
a reply to: KKLOCO

If you do a little more research on that particular poster, he claimed the economy was going to crash because of ____ about every 3 months or so.... for years.

Just sayin...

This ^^^

There's a reason he was banned. Most likely trolling.

a reply to: KKLOCO

No reason to fret, KK, the economy will be back as long as Trump is reelected. Democrats want to reverse everything he's done and drive taxes back up.

originally posted by: KKLOCO
a reply to: Plotus

Doesn’t seem many took it too seriously until early March. I was one of those that didn’t want to believe Something like this could ever happen.

Should have been smart and gotten off the grid like Lumenari, years ago.

I don't take it any more serious than I take other viruses that hit us. We've all had exposure to it since at least last November. When we didn't know what we were dealing with, everything carried on as usual. Once the fearmongering started, people started freaking out in record masses.

originally posted by: olaru12
I've been expecting a drastic economic downturn since trump got elected and I regret that I have been proven correct.
And this is just the beginning.....in a few years the new "normal" will be unbearable.

Since when has the "trickle down" socialism for the wealthy, economic model ever worked?

No you don't regret it. This is what all democrats have been hoping for since 2016 when Trump won the election because y'all knew the only chance you had to win would be if Trump[ crashed the economy.

However, while democrats continue to blame this on Trump, the rest of the country sees it for what it is and knows that it's not Trump's fault like y'all keep peddling. His policies had the economy booming before democratic fearmongering started shutting it down. People are coming to terms that the democrats have caused this ridiculous shutdown and you're not far from finding that out the hard way.