Mortality rates for Covid 19 skyrocket !

originally posted by: shooterbrody

originally posted by: Sillyolme
a reply to: muzzleflash

With all the hype everyone is going to get tested even if their symptoms are mild.

uh
no
not going anywhere near any hospital or testing facility

why would those not sick do so?

I'm not arguing for it, but there are people who test positive, but do not get ill, thereby can spread it without realising it.

a reply to: vonclod
test everyone? really?
if you have no symptoms and have no known exposure why would you risk such?
sounds ludicrous to me

originally posted by: shooterbrody
a reply to: vonclod
test everyone? really?
if you have no symptoms and have no known exposure why would you risk such?
sounds ludicrous to me

I tend to agree, just putting out a possible reason why.

a reply to: Fallingdown

I think this is due largely to under testing the population, as a result its making the mortality rate look much higher than it is. If you test 10 people positive, 2 die,and actually 200 people have it that you didn't test, the fatality rate is grossly over represented. This is why testing is so critical.

originally posted by: Daughter2
Again, it's using the ***confirmed** infections. Even in China, there wasn't enough test kits and they weren't testing everyone, so it's really hard to know the true figure.

Korea did try to take a random sample and they came in under 1%.

Yes. It could be that they don't have an accurate take on the number of actual cases because many cases in which the affected person got better may have gone unreported and unknown (lack of testing, etc).

However, it is more likely that they have an accurate take on how many people who died from the disease, because the medical community in China might be much more likely to test someone who is in bad enough condition to be hospitalized, or even test blood post-mortem.

So the bias here would be the bad cases that are more likely to result in death are being reported more than the cases in which the person recovered.

HMMMM. I would like to get some perspective. regular flu rates. this is factual data to compare.. does this look like something worth closing the world economy down over? not sure. just leaving this here. this is in the US. Up to 600,000 people die globally from the flu.

Symptomatic Illnesses Deaths
Season Estimate Estimate
2016-2017 29,000,000 38,000
Preliminary estimates* Estimate Estimate
2017-2018* 45,000,000 61,000

originally posted by: Fallingdown
All right this has gone on long enough .

I made a post last night complaining about how ill received good news is concerning Covid 19 .

I said I was going to do a thread using a doom article I don’t believe and could prove wrong .


*Note

This is that thread. 🦠 Phew, Phew, Phew. 🔫

And it turned out exactly like I thought it would .

Coronoavirus death rate is lower than initially thought

Sorry to those who want millions to die, it's not gonna happen.

a reply to: Fallingdown

It's 9% currently.

COVID -19 STATS

These charts break mortality rates down by country.

You can look at the data from different places laid out in comparison on these and draw your own conclusions about how you think we're doing as compared to other places.

a reply to: Blue_Jay33

That’s for 90,000 closed cases only

They’re still 109 thousand active cases . Of which 94% are mild and 6% are serious or critical .

You also need to factor in the fact that they’re only developing those percentages from confirmed cases . I haven’t seen a number for cases on reported that should be applied. But I think a very very conservative estimate would be 1/3 of the current total .

Nothing is accurate right now .

But every one of those factors is going to bring the CFR down .

originally posted by: Fallingdown
a reply to: Blue_Jay33

That’s for 90,000 closed cases only

They’re still 109 thousand active cases . Of which 94% are mild and 6% are serious or critical .

You also need to factor in the fact that they’re only developing those percentages from confirmed cases . I haven’t seen a number for cases on reported that should be applied. But I think a very very conservative estimate would be 1/3 of the current total .

Nothing is accurate right now .

But every one of those factors is going to bring the CFR down .

See my post here. It's my understanding that study takes all of that into account. They estimate the mortality rate is going to look more like 1.4% once all the smoke clears.

a reply to: Fallingdown

Hello Friend.

Take a look: www.worldometers.info...

Have a look at the birth to death rates globally. Madness right? Kind of puts into perspective how small and insignificant this whole 'pandemic' is.

Also: 10,101 Net population growth today and counting......

How many turn 18 years old each day:

Using the UN world population data for 2010, estimating the 10-14 population to 600 million, fifth of that (assuming uniformity) is our target population, so 120 million per year. Division by 365.25 gives 330k people a day.

Also interesting? So already today we are roughly, 328,000k people who turn adult age each day, ready to work, provide and protect their families.

a reply to: Fallingdown

Look at this one...
nypost.com...

Globalist lies. Trying to crash the economy.

I say the mortality rate is BS. How are they going to get an accurate number when they don't have a clue how many people are infected.

A lot of these so-called experts are very stupid and they think we're stupid.

Everyone was saying there are more deaths from the swine flu?

when i looked a few days ago, and of course things have moved on a lot, in Italy there were 500 something deaths, and 500 something people recovered.
now is that not 50% mortality rate....?
admitedly lots of old folks, but those numbers were scary.

originally posted by: CrastneyJPR
when i looked a few days ago, and of course things have moved on a lot, in Italy there were 500 something deaths, and 500 something people recovered.
now is that not 50% mortality rate....?
admitedly lots of old folks, but those numbers were scary.

No, it's not a 50% mortality rate. That ignores all the active cases, as well as unknown cases. The current numbers in Italy are:

35,713 active cases
4,025 recovered
2,978 deaths

Of the active cases, over 90% are mild.

Link

a reply to: Sillyolme

I live in Valencia in Spain.