It looks like you're using an Ad Blocker.

Thank you.

Some features of ATS will be disabled while you continue to use an ad-blocker.

# The Mathematical Spread of COVID 19 Explained In Video Form...

page: 1
14
share:

posted on Mar, 8 2020 @ 10:58 PM
This guy did an amazing job summarizing what many have been trying to get across.

posted on Mar, 9 2020 @ 12:18 AM
Jut like any other new virus...
Every
Single
Time
Before.

posted on Mar, 9 2020 @ 12:53 AM

originally posted by: Gothmog
Jut like any other new virus...
Every
Single
Time
Before.

I wonder if they also factor in the tools we have to work with today compared to the earlier 20th century tools with the flu that killed over 400,000?

Has our knowledge and tools to deal with these epidemics progressed in an exponential way? Shortening the time for these epidemics to reach the Inflection point. Maybe not exponentially, but greatly increased none the less.

posted on Mar, 9 2020 @ 12:55 AM

originally posted by: highvein

originally posted by: Gothmog
Jut like any other new virus...
Every
Single
Time
Before.

I wonder if they also factor in the tools we have to work with today compared to the earlier 20th century tools with the flu that killed over 400,000?

Has our knowledge and tools to deal with these epidemics progressed in an exponential way? Shortening the time for these epidemics to reach the Inflection point. Maybe not exponentially, but greatly increased none the less.

It's just using current numbers based on daily documented infection rates. It's naturally taking into account our technological advances. That graph is real-time...

posted on Mar, 9 2020 @ 01:01 AM

When you do you think it will reach the inflection point?

posted on Mar, 9 2020 @ 01:02 AM

originally posted by: highvein

When you do you think it will reach the inflection point?

When people take it seriously...

posted on Mar, 9 2020 @ 01:08 AM

originally posted by: highvein

When you do you think it will reach the inflection point?

To give you a more precise answer you are going to have to put up with some high level math with me, but suffice to say that the earliest we are going to hit a 1.0 point at the inflection point considering we are already at 105,000 cases and a current factor of 1.15 per day...

...you're going to see at least 5,000,000 cases before it starts a negative...

And that's if we were taking it seriously *now*...
edit on 9-3-2020 by YouAreLiedTo because: (no reason given)

posted on Mar, 9 2020 @ 01:27 AM
Then you have people like me... healthy and so don't care...Of course I limit exposure as much as I can, but I really don't see this much different than any other flu season.

edit on 9-3-2020 by Xtrozero because: (no reason given)

posted on Mar, 9 2020 @ 01:30 AM
An asymptomatic carrier out in the wild is the worst possible scenario.

Attitudes like this will just extend the scenario...

posted on Mar, 9 2020 @ 01:35 AM

originally posted by: YouAreLiedTo

An asymptomatic carrier out in the wild is the worst possible scenario.

Attitudes like this will just extend the scenario...

Like any other flu season? Do you shut yourself in your house from Oct To Mar each year?

posted on Mar, 9 2020 @ 01:40 AM

Give it a few weeks
it's going to go huge, big numbers
up to 2O day incubation , spread asymptomatically
little to no testing in the USA to date
Assuming one lives in a western nation
If the Virus doesn't bother you,the toilet paper will.
No difference between the willful spread of this disease and the lack of concern for it in my opinion
This is more than the Flu, it took down the second largest economy,and Japan is grinding to a halt
And this is not even close to being over
edit on 9-3-2020 by all2human because: (no reason given)

posted on Mar, 9 2020 @ 01:46 AM

No, he gets it. Denial is a step to acceptance.

posted on Mar, 9 2020 @ 05:19 AM

originally posted by: YouAreLiedTo

originally posted by: highvein

When you do you think it will reach the inflection point?

To give you a more precise answer you are going to have to put up with some high level math with me, but suffice to say that the earliest we are going to hit a 1.0 point at the inflection point considering we are already at 105,000 cases and a current factor of 1.15 per day...

...you're going to see at least 5,000,000 cases before it starts a negative...

And that's if we were taking it seriously *now*...

Depends on who "we" is.
2018 - 2019 brought 35.5 million symptomatic cases of the flu in the US alone.

Denying Ignorance.
Why ?
The fear mongering over this thing is getting a bit old.

edit on 3/9/20 by Gothmog because: (no reason given)

edit on 3/9/20 by Gothmog because: (no reason given)

posted on Mar, 9 2020 @ 05:25 AM

Right.

Covid-19 is just getting started. My prediction is 8 million dead in the U.S. and a total of approximately 350 million dead world wide.

posted on Mar, 9 2020 @ 05:30 AM

originally posted by: Alien Abduct

Right.

Covid-19 is just getting started. My prediction is 8 million dead in the U.S. and a total of approximately 350 million dead world wide.

On what did you base that prediction ?
Certainly not a YouTube video , I hope

posted on Mar, 9 2020 @ 08:02 AM

Here is what the American Hospital Association is expecting. Nothing to 'sneeze' at.

4.8 million hospitalizations associated with the novel coronavirus 96 million cases overall in the US 480,000 deaths Overall, the slide points out that hospitals should prepare for an impact to the system that's 10 times a severe flu season.

posted on Mar, 9 2020 @ 08:18 AM

No, it certainly isn't, which is why slowing community spread is vital (to manage the impact on hospitals). The other side of that coin is a simple reality that over-managing the problem will cause ripples throughout the economy that could kill even more people if we get it wrong.

It's complicated and I sure as hell wouldn't want to be in charge of anything larger than a household right now.

posted on Mar, 9 2020 @ 08:26 AM

Do you know what exponential growth means? Take a listen to this vid - it explains just how this virus is going to spread and the ramifications on heath care and more.
Stay well!

posted on Mar, 9 2020 @ 08:35 AM

originally posted by: butcherguy

Here is what the American Hospital Association is expecting. Nothing to 'sneeze' at.

4.8 million hospitalizations associated with the novel coronavirus 96 million cases overall in the US 480,000 deaths Overall, the slide points out that hospitals should prepare for an impact to the system that's 10 times a severe flu season.

That is what they are planning for...

Expected

regarded as likely; anticipated.

Get it ?

posted on Mar, 9 2020 @ 08:37 AM

Get it ?

I don't have it yet, but it is in a neighboring county, so I am thinking I might have in two weeks.

top topics

14