New Hampshire primary results

new Hampshire primary results as polls have closed and results are starting to trickle in

fivethirtyeight.com... 538 coverage on the primaries in general with sanders off to a decent lead with roughly 6% in

www.nytimes.com... coverage of republican primary where trump is the expected favorite

www.cnn.com... Cnn coverage

apps.npr.org... NPR live coverage

again not in the mud pit but lets see what every one thinks is gonna happen and any predictions. will it be as bad as Iowa was or will direct vote tallies stop some of the chaos that happened at the last Caucus

so far its bernie in lead with roughly 30% of the vote followed by Pete 22% then Amy Kloubouchar in 3rd with 18.2 % with roughly 5% of vote in


apps.npr.org... from NPR live blog

As of late Tuesday afternoon, a total of 853 presidential campaign events have been held in New Hampshire, nearly 300 fewer than the number held in Iowa before the caucuses there last week. That said, for the most part, the number of events each candidate held in the Granite State doesn’t correspond with their standing in the state’s polls. The most events were held by businessman Andrew Yang (133) and Hawaii Rep. Tulsi Gabbard (130), but they have gained little traction in the polls. On the other hand, Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders and Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren have stronger name recognition in the region but have not visited the state in as high numbers. Sanders tops the New Hampshire polls while Warren has fluctuated throughout the campaign, at times leading but currently tied for third place with several candidates. Former South Bend, Ind., Mayor Pete Buttigieg and Minnesota Sen. Amy Klobuchar — two Midwestern candidates who don’t hold the same name recognition in the area but have a chance at doing well tonight — have the most visits in the Granite State after Yang and Gabbard.

so still early in race but i think it will be a repeat of sanders vs clinton in 2016 with bernie taking the win but pete could catch up

What do I think will happen?
Bernie will get screwed. Mayor Pete will win tonight. At the last minute either Hillary or Minnie Mike will save the Democratic Party, and Trump will win in November.

a reply to: RalagaNarHallas

Why is cable news giving out the results so early? Polls don't close until 8 p.m. Eastern time.

originally posted by: Nickn3
What do I think will happen?
Bernie will get screwed. Mayor Pete will win tonight. At the last minute either Hillary or Minnie Mike will save the Democratic Party, and Trump will win in November.

I severely doubt that Bloomberg will get anywhere near the Democratic nomination as his past as a GOP member will drag him down. Hillary - don't be daft.
Biden will not win NH (duh), it looks like a three-way split between Bernie, Mayor Pete and (interestingly) Klobuchar.
Super Tuesday is going to be fascinating.

a reply to: carewemust

ah nyt had implied the polls had started to close at 7ish www.nytimes.com... but it also says they authorized the polls to stay open tell 9 if necessary

originally posted by: RalagaNarHallas
a reply to: carewemust

ah nyt had implied the polls had started to close at 7ish www.nytimes.com... but it also says they authorized the polls to stay open tell 9 if necessary

Does that mean a possible higher turnout than they expected? What's the weather like in NH right now and has that resulted in a rush?

a reply to: RalagaNarHallas

Okay, the networks are Now legally sharing the results. Poor Joe Biden.

a reply to: AngryCymraeg

Bloomberg will either rise or sink on super tuesday but even then he plans to flood the DNC with money , there is the video going around of his stop and frisk so hes taking some flack as describing all the suspects as being the same black or brown and 16-27ish (going from memory)

as to mayor pete he blew his cash on the first 4 states to try to go into the latter races with higher recognition

no signs of shenanigans yet but NH is USUALLY safe bernie territory

from cnn biden has allready left NH for south carolina

and when only 1% of results were in earlier amy was in lead and yang was being biden, keep in mind some NH places started voting at midnight early this am as is their quirky tradition

a reply to: AngryCymraeg www.usatoday.com... USA today is forecasting "record turn out" but that may just be democratic hopes not actual results

WASHINGTON – As the Democratic presidential candidates begin a sprint to determine who will take on President Donald Trump this fall, party insiders are wrestling with another consequential uncertainty: whether voters are already tuning out. Lower-than-expected participation in the Feb. 3 Iowa caucuses and massive audiences at Trump's rallies that have eclipsed those of his rivals – including one on the eve of the New Hampshire primary – have undermined an early narrative that Democrats are so energized after losing in 2016 that they're ready to show up in droves in 2020. As the nation parses the results of the New Hampshire primary Tuesday for signs of who might emerge from the crowded field to be the Democratic nominee, party leaders will also scrutinize turnout figures to assess whether they're facing the same enthusiasm headwinds that worked against Hillary Clinton four years ago.

but you hit on a Key point if turn out does not approach 2008 obama levels the dems are off to a rough start against trump as they are really wanting to see turn out numbers rise as a sign they have a chance to defeat him in 2020 in November

edit to add second snippit

Buttigieg, meanwhile, slammed Sen. Bernie Sanders, telling NBC in an interview that it "would be very difficult" for Sanders to beat the president in November. But as Democrats fired verbal shots at one another about electability, Trump – who does not face a serious threat for the GOP nomination this year – filled a nearly 12,000-seat arena in Manchester, N.H., for a rally Monday night. Free from the impeachment proceedings that cast a shadow over his presidency for months, Trump touted low U.S. unemployment to jubilant supporters and projected an image of Republican unity.

so Pete and sanders allready exchanging verbal barbs and Trump casualy throwing rallies on the eve of primaries to keep his base motivated and amped up , i know not much about NH but 12k at a rally seems pretty good for him in a traditionally blue state

Update per CNN yang is dropping out so another one bites the dust so to speak! and the dem field continues to narrow and Yangs long shot campaign ends by the 2nd primary
apps.npr.org...

Andrew Yang Suspends His Campaign Andrew Yang, a tech entrepreneur who built his campaign around a signature policy proposal — universal basic income — has announced he’s ending his bid for the presidency.

link

all polls closed, not a good sign for "turn out" but bernie sanders still in lead 28.3% 9,371 votes

mayor pete at 22.7% 7,522 so still in spitting distance


with amy on his heels 20% 6,613 votes per ap with roughly 12 percent of vote in

biden with only 7% 2,622 votes ,so trumps "greatest competitor" is getting crushed for the second event in a row. makes you wonder how long old joe can keep taking losses like this but i think SC will be his last shot at staying in this


and on the republican side donald trump is enjoying almost parity with sanders with an 8-1 ratio of votes to his nearest republican challenger
82.6% 8,098 and that is pretty close to sanders numbers....... which should worry the dems as if NH shows greater turn out for team R vs team D they will be on the back foot looking like they could loose a "safe dem" state in 2020

www.cnn.com... cnn seems to have the most recent numbers sanders at 16k now with mayor pete at 13k and amy at 12k with per cnn 20% of vote in


and per this apparently the numbers could be skewed by never trumpers voting for biden nypost.com...

MANCHESTER, N.H. — Embittered “Never Trump” Republicans tied to former Ohio Gov. John Kasich have secretly schemed to assist Joe Biden’s campaign — because they think he’s the only Democrat who can beat the president and help them get “revenge,” The Post has learned. Emails obtained by The Post show that two top staffers from Kasich’s failed, 2016 primary campaign and Ohio’s former GOP chairman, a Kasich ally, were among those involved in efforts to boost support for the former vice president in last week’s botched Iowa caucus and Tuesday’s New Hampshire primary.

and keep in mind biden is getting hammered in this so even with some "republican support" hes trailing the pack

Saw breaking news on The Connors. Kid said Yang dropped out. I verified that.

Yang drops out

Just reported that neither Warren or Biden will get any delegates out of New Hampshire. They did not meet the 15% threshold.

fivethirtyeight.com... so per 538 concord at least is over performing even vs obama turn out for the dems

Turnout in Concord surpassed the 2008 Democratic primary by 5 percent and the 2016 primary by 15 percent.

edit to add a dem i didnt even know was running has dropped out twitter.com...

Zeke Miller @ZekeJMiller MANCHESTER, N.H. (AP) — Colorado Sen. Michael Bennet ends 2020 Democratic presidential bid after pinning campaign's hopes on New Hampshire.

per associated press trump is neck and neck with sanders votes wise with sanders having 12,223 and trump 11,789

MSNBC just reported that Michael Bennett has dropped out of the race. I must admit, I don't know who he is.

apps.npr.org... yangs parting comment

Yang: “Trump Is Not The Cause Of All Our Problems” In a speech to New Hampshire supporters, businessman Andrew Yang formally announced his withdrawal from the presidential race. “I am not someone who wants to accept donations and support in a race that we will not win,” Yang said, “and so tonight I am announcing I am suspending my campaign for president.” Yang also said he plans to support whichever Democratic candidate becomes the nominee — while also offering, “a word of caution and guidance” to the larger Democratic field. “Donald Trump is not the cause of all of our problems, he is a symptom of a disease that has been building up in our communities for years,” Yang said. “We must cure the disease that got him elected and in order to do that we must address the real problems that affect our people and offer solutions to actually solve them.”

so parting shot at the dems and the obligatory dems must stop trump comments

from ap Bernie Sanders
– 28.2% 14,774

Pete Buttigieg
– 23% 12,023

Amy Klobuchar
– 19.5% 10,224

Elizabeth Warren
– 10.9% 5,719

Joe Biden
– 8% 4,172

id expect styer to drop out next as hes barely tying already dropped out yang

Besides the more well known democrat candidates, there are 25 other candidates that have received votes so far. Some, like Kamala Harris, Cory Booker, and Julian Castro have already dropped out some time ago. Then there are others that I never heard of, such as Mosie Boyd (6 votes at this time), Jason Dunlap, and Rita Krichevsky (1 vote apiece at this time). Republican Mary Maxwell has almost as many votes as Joe Walsh.

Results showing ALL candidates