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originally posted by: RalagaNarHallas
CNN has spent the last 10ish minutes talking about Bloomberg who is apparently not even in the iowa thing tonight ,nate silver implies that it shows the "media bubble is getting worse" in regards to time spent on Mike bloomberg
so there is this
Bernie's surge could help Trump Some argue that it's far too early to freak out about Sanders, even if he performs well during the early nominating contests. "He has just about zero chance of winning a presidential election," Peter Boockvar, chief investment officer at Bleakley Advisory Group, wrote in a note to clients Monday. "The markets instead should assume that Trump gets reelected the better Sanders does, whether you like that or not." If Sanders is the nightmare outcome, four more years of Trump is widely seen as the best outcome for the stock market and Wall Street. "A second term of Trump is more low taxation, more deregulation and an indifference about trillion-dollar deficits," said Kotok. "Markets like that. Whether the country likes it, once it's fully digested, is another matter."
originally posted by: jrod
Just saw on WSJ that Buttigieg won, followed by Bernie, then Biden.
Not sure on the authenticity because I don't subscribe to the WSJ and just saw a snip.
so tldr its a mess and even most dems aren't happy with the process
The actual presidential nomination process is lengthy, convoluted, and provides ample opportunities for the frontrunner to stumble. It has unique dynamics that make it far different from a typical election. It’s part rollercoaster, part marathon. And key to everything is the calendar. Between February 3 and June 6, 57 separate primaries and caucuses will take place. Their outcomes will gradually assign candidates delegates necessary to win the nomination at the July national convention. The ordering and timing of contests is crucial — and it breaks down into two separate phases. Phase one is the four early states in February, which have a paltry number of delegates but an extraordinary impact on the race’s overall narrative. Phase two is the briefest but the most consequential: It spans March 1 to 17, in which more than half of all 3,979 pledged delegates will be locked down. And then phase three, if the nomination is still contested, will be a long, slow slog for the remaining delegates until early June (or until someone wins a majority). As the contest goes on, it shifts from one that’s fluid and unpredictable to one that’s about cold, hard math. Because once a candidate gets a significant delegate lead, that lead can be quite difficult to dislodge — particularly due to Democratic rules that delegates must be allotted proportionally based on results. And considering how important the calendar is, it may be surprising that no one dictated it from the top down. The DNC does protect the privileged position of the four early states, and it set an overall end date, but beyond that, it was really up to each state to decide when to hold its contest. Overall, what’s resulted is a messy and arguably even bizarre way to pick a nominee. It’s a process that ends up privileging certain states over others, and that can be buffeted by sudden volatility, especially early on. But it’s the system Democrats have. And it will determine who gets to run against Donald Trump in November.
"quality control" eh? and abundance of caution.......
Iowa Democratic Party says it is performing 'quality control' on results In a statement to MSNBC about the delay in results, the Iowa Democratic Party said it is performing “quality control” on the numbers “out of an abundance of caution.”
originally posted by: RalagaNarHallas
a reply to: SailorJerry
and bloomberg is in next debate oddly enough after a large donation to the DNC
Bruce Spiva, a lawyer for the DNC, argued in its motion to dismiss that the party holds the right to select its candidate any way it chooses and is not bound by pledges of fairness.
so the republicans much simpler and effective way of doing it was over in hours the dems are having trouble even getting results in due to some new phone app it seems, kind of an odd way to do things
Precinct chairs across Iowa said that some of them are struggling to use the new phone application for reporting Monday night’s caucus results, potentially delaying the counting of the first votes in the 2020 Democratic race. The application is one of the ways local officials who oversee individual caucuses are able to send results from each of the nearly 1,700 sites to the Iowa Democratic Party, which compiles and checks the results. The app was created to improve the efficiency of reporting of results, but chairs unable to use the app on Monday will send their results to the party via a call-in number. The party hotline has always been available to precinct chairs. State party officials said they have no concerns that the results will be counted inaccurately. The final tally could be delayed by a few hours because the chairs will have to call the hotline and read the results instead of submitting them electronically.