Corona Virus Updates

www.usnews.com...

Coronavi rus Cases Top 2,700 in China, While 5th U.S. Case Is Confirmed

if you click on china number on that map still point to the article up linked
maphub.net...No new number yet from China they are late!

It sounds to me like it is less deadly than SARS was in '03 or whatever but it is spreading when carriers are asymptomatic, so this thing will likely hit a LOT more people if it's as contagious as we are being told... medical system will be overrun and it could even be the black swan event that pokes the "everything bubble"


Does anyone listen to MacroVoices with Erik Townsend, who is in Hong Kong? He's not an infectious disease specialist but he is having Chris Martenson on the Thursday interview - Chris is a specialist in both Macro-economics and pathology en.wikipedia.org...

Martenson holds a PhD degree in pathology from Duke University

I've looked back through the WHO situation reports and focused on the confirmed infections and deaths from China (since it's clearly far more progressed there).

I've then calculated the increase in infected day to day, and deaths from day to day. There are only 4 data points so it's limited, but the changes are very close each day. Average increase is 49.81% in infected, and 48.53% in deaths.

The minimum change was c.45%, so...

I've taken that 45% increase rate, then extrapolated it out day by day for the next few weeks - it doesn't take long to get to hundreds of millions infected.

A screenshot of the spreadsheet with numbers is below up to 21st Feb. Don't know how accurate it will be with only 4 data points and questionable data, but I think it'll give us an idea of what reported numbers to expect at least over next few days:



Fix dates in image - it's gone past midnight, threw all dates out by 24 hours.

a reply to: FamCore

The flu is just to spread it,to me its looking like there is a second delayed payload

Looking at The WHO 2019 ncov report questioneer this virus causes bloodshot eyes, ulcers in your throat a coma just to name a few? the one that really makes me wonder seizures? I am getting a little pissed that we are not being informed what these health organizations know....

I dunno what to think anymore. Those signs/symptoms whatever they are do not sound nice....

a reply to: Bicent

In medical parlance, 'signs' are observations made by testing or physical examination. 'Symptoms' are the anecdotal complaints / experiences of the patient afflicted. There is overlap between the two of course, for instance vomiting could be both a sign and a symptom. A high white blood cell count would be a sign. Headache would be a symptom, etc..

a reply to: Bicent
I watched one video of a patient being wheeled into a hospital on an ambulance gurney and he had his arms drawn partway in and held above his face. It looked weird, as if he was having some kind of seizure.

a reply to: Power_Semi


Looks to make sense. From what I can decipher the r0 tis somewhere between 2.2 and 3.8 no consensus if there is they are not telling us...

I can't access the article, it just doesn't load.
www.nhc.gov.cn...

^ this should be the latest OFFICIAL update from China
But if Wiki and other maps/sources pulled the number from this article, then there is only 80 new cases in the last 24 hours, that's 10x less than yesterday, as it was around 800 new cases.

BREAKING: Epicenter of coronavirus outbreak reports 1,291 new cases and 24 new deaths, raising death toll to 106.

twitter.com...

BREAKING: Epicenter of coronavirus outbreak reports 1,291 new cases and 24 new deaths, raising death toll to 106.
...
We're still waiting for the national update. This update is only from Hubei province.
...
690 people are now in serious or critical condition. Another huge increase.

Source

originally posted by: Necrose
I can't access the article, it just doesn't load.
www.nhc.gov.cn...

^ this should be the latest OFFICIAL update from China
But if Wiki and other maps/sources pulled the number from this article, then there is only 80 new cases in the last 24 hours, that's 10x less than yesterday, as it was around 800 new cases.

Here you go, it's working for me, I'm not sure if this is yesterdays news I'm in a different time zone.

At 02:00 on January 26, 30 provinces (autonomous regions and municipalities) reported 769 new confirmed cases, 137 severe cases, 24 new deaths (24 cases in Hubei Province), and newly cured discharged cases. 2 cases, 3806 suspected cases were newly added.

As of 24:00 on January 26, the National Health and Health Commission had received a total of 2,744 confirmed cases in 30 provinces (autonomous regions and municipalities), 461 cases of severe cases, 80 cases of deaths, and 51 cases of hospitalization. There are 5794 suspected cases.
　　At present, 32,799 close contacts have been traced, 583 people were released from medical observation on the same day, and 30,453 people are currently receiving medical observation.

I think this is from yesterday.

originally posted by: EndtheMadnessNow
BREAKING: Epicenter of coronavirus outbreak reports 1,291 new cases and 24 new deaths, raising death toll to 106.

twitter.com...

This update is only from Hubei province!!!

That makes 4295est. cases 106 dead....


It’s going to just keep getting bigger. MSM IS STILL NOT REPORTING THIS...

Unbelievable.. what a disgrace.. THANK god for bno.

Not to mention over 600 plus in critical condition.

Cripes my data for tomorrow predicted 4162 infected and 119 dead - new number today is 4231 & 106 (China only)!

EDIT - bummer I see what I've done - I didn't realise it's gone past midnight here, so I've moved it all out of whack by a day. Will go and correct it.

Still no update on the official website though.
www.nhc.gov.cn...

Report from the 27th is from last night.

a reply to: weirdguy

yes, it's from yesterday. It has to be 28th...as they report on the 28th (morning in China) about yesterday (27th)

originally posted by: khnum
a reply to: FamCore

The flu is just to spread it,to me its looking like there is a second delayed payload

Bingo. As I said earlier the CCP are not afraid for no reason. They are terrified. I mentioned in an earlier post that there could be something else in this. The Coronavirus could simply be a Trojan horse in effect. Most effective way to spread whatever else is involved.

The Chinese are not tanking their economy for nothing. They haven’t quarantined 100 million for nothing. Hopefully I am very wrong, but I think we may be in trouble.

Using the actual growth numbers so far for infections & deaths (only 4 data points) and if there was no barrier to the disease infecting people (isolation etc), then the whole of China will be infected by end of Feb.

And with the migration of so many people - that might well happen.

This is very, very scary.

The big take away from the newest report is how quickly other cases are being reported in other parts of China.....