posted on Jan, 16 2020 @ 10:08 PM
a reply to: Bluntone22
It usually depends on what models they use - GFS, Euro, NAM, a Canadian one, and how many ensemble runs, how often plus their knowledge of local
I have two sources I take as my primaries for weather: a local weather guy who really goes in depth on his blog and a YouTuber going by WeatherDirect.
Both are usually pretty close to what generally will happen in this area. Places like Accuweather and TWC are no better than generally ballpark and
often lag in making changes with winter forecasts especially.
But on his blog, our local weather guy will often show how one model or another will completely favor inches and inches of snow will another will like
ice and third puts the storm in some other part of the country entirely. He uses his blog to get into those weeds and explain other, more reactionary
stations are forecasting 20" while he's still simply noting a chance something might happen. He spent today's blog explaining the warm layer that
happens to create ice even though it's cold as heck outside, so we'll be getting lots of sleet tomorrow pre-dawn and all morning.
16-1-2020 by ketsuko because: (no reason given)