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When President Donald Trump's internal polling suggested he was trailing Democrats in crucial states earlier this year, it did what any campaign would do: tried to bury the bad numbers.
When the findings leaked to the media anyway, an infuriated Trump and his aides first disputed the poll's existence, then tried to dismiss its importance before finally firing some of the pollsters.
The deception and muddled messaging are part reflexive: Trump and his team have made a habit of discounting embarrassing news as "fake." But the internal drama on the brink of Trump's formal reelection launch could also signal trouble ahead if staffers are skittish about being candid with a boss who has made "winning" a central part of his brand.
"All news about the president's polling is completely false," campaign manager Brad Parscale said in a statement. "The president's new polling is extraordinary and his numbers have never been better."
originally posted by: rickymouse.
Never trust a political poll. Someone always pays to get a poll done, someone who wants a result that favors them.
but two people familiar with the situation
The election upset already has inspired headlines about data being dead. Trump did, after all, reject the need for data, only to hire Cambridge Analytica during the summer after clinching the nomination. But Oczkowski believes such a characterization is as much a misreading of the situation as the polls themselves. "Data is not dead," he says, before repeating the old political adage that data doesn't win campaigns, it only win margins. "Data’s alive and kicking. It’s just how you use it and how you buck normal political trends to understand your data."
originally posted by: dubiousatworst
a reply to: rickymouse
Both RNC and DNC have access to all voter rolls, and related data.
As for the wording part, yes it happens a lot, and sometimes the pollsters are not even aware they are doing it. There are even biases that show up due to the order that choices are listed even when the wording itself is neutral. The major problem with pushing for skewed data means it isn't actionable or relevant, and that is why Trump had some people doing analysis that were not party affiliated. Unfortunately, that also means there is a risk of leaks if they think they can get away with it.
I laughed hard at this, this is why your credibility is shot 🤭
originally posted by: 3NL1GHT3N3D1
a reply to: snarfbot
Dude, this place is like 90% right wing if not more. Nothing makes it to the front page unless it's right wing. If anyone is hiring "shills" they are of the right wing variety not left wing.