posted on May, 22 2019 @ 06:48 AM
Oh, dear, oh, dear, oh, dear...
Yea, it comes down to 4 states... always does. I can guarantee that, barring some sort of unfathomable disaster, Alabama will go for Trump even
stronger than in 2016. I can almost guarantee the same thing in Mississippi, Louisiana, Tennessee, and Georgia (thanks to Abrams not being governor
and therefore not allowing election tampering). So we're not really in play... except... a few states have decided to let us vote in their elections!
So the more the Southern states turn out, the closer it gets to Colorado actually voting for Trump! No one has mentioned this much... but it's the
truth. All the GOP has to do is crank up the fear in mid-2020, and conservatives will turn out in droves for Trump.
How will this affect Biden?
Well, Joe has a few flaws. He'll likely get the DNC nomination, because he's the closest to middle-of-the-road the DNC has and he has what is
considered to be a proven track record, being an ex Vice President. But he's running against 22 other Democrats (23 if you count AOC, who seems to
have a penchant for ticking off voters). AOC has already fired off one attack, accusing Biden of being too soft on environmental
craziness issues, and Biden fell right into line. He put out a statement that he was as extreme on environment as anyone.
America does not want extreme.
Biden has to play to the DNC base in order to get the nomination. That means he has to go extreme, and his record of moderation is a prime target for
attack by the likes of Bernie, Warren, O'Rourke, etc. When he does that, he will effectively alienate the majority of Independents, and let's be
honest: Independents will decide this election like they do every election. So he's got a huge problem there... if he manages to get the nomination,
he alienates those he needs to win the office. If he doesn't alienate the Independents, he won't get the nomination. That's what happened with
Hillary: she took the nomination from Bernie, but by doing so she angered the Bernie supporters that could have given her the win.
Let's say, though, Biden gets the nod and is the DNC candidate. He'll likely pick Kamala Harris as his running mate. That's going to further alienate
Independents, because Harris is extreme. Without a woman running mate, however, he'll lose his base.
In a debate between Trump and Biden, Trump wins if he just shows up for 60 seconds on a TV screen in the back. Trump is energized, dynamic,
down-to-earth, and personable. Biden is quiet, unassuming, with weird mannerisms and has an elitist aura. Trump will also have an advantage he did not
have in 2016: he has all the facts and figures at his disposal now and he knows the office. He is no longer inexperienced.
Now add in decades of political decisions which may or may not play well for Biden today... the long, long history of creepiness surrounding Biden
(which he just openly acknowledged), the Ukraine business with his son, and the fact that he was in office during the worst recession in history (some
still say another depression) while Trump was in office during an exceptionally fast-growing economy. Consider that, as a Democrat, Biden will be seen
by some as complicit in every cockamamie notion that AOC and Omar can concoct... it's going to be a disaster for the DNC. In the other corner is a
brash, egotistical business tycoon who makes wild statements... but who has been consistent, has improved Americans' lives, and has the unique
distinction of keeping his promises once in office.
Is Trump beatable? Certainly! but it will take someone with similar charisma, similar ability to entertain and turn out the masses, and a record of
keeping promises. I see no one in the 23 DNC candidates that can touch those requirements.
Oh, and if someone really wants to enjoy some entertainment... the differences between Pence and Harris in the Vice President debate(s) will be epic!
Pence is strong, sure, confident, and grounded, projecting an aura of strength. Harris is wild, loud, boisterous, and goes off half-cocked, projecting
an aura of... dare I say?... insanity.