a reply to: matafuchs
How will polling affect the next election cycle?
Pretty much the same it has for the past 40 years or so... put a few percentage points towards the favored Democrat.
It's easy-peasy... do a poll, throw the numbers towards the Democrat running by 7-10 percentage points for about a year before the actual election,
get it spread by a willing media.
2 weeks or so before the actual election, slowly tighten your numbers to where they are the actual ones.
That serves two purposes.
1./ You've just had a year to sway public opinion, so the last two weeks are not going to change anyone's mind.
2./ If you are going to stay in business as a pollster, you need to be accurate AFTER the election. So you can point to your numbers the day BEFORE
the election and go "HEY! We nailed it!"
That's all most polls are good for now.. a tool to sway voters prior to the election the way you want them to go... just a few percentage points.
Then, between ballot harvesting, dead people, illegal immigrant voting, multiple voting and outright fraud, a Democrat can comfortably enjoy a 7-8
point lead on their Republican contender before even counting the votes.
Then if that doesn't work, just find more ballots, get them recounted, stall and fill out more votes, etc.
I figure looking around that a Republican candidate needs to be 8 points ahead to break even.
It's like Affirmative Action for Democrats...
edit on 6-5-2019 by Lumenari because: (no reason given)