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Do cosmic rays break up in the atmosphere?
It seems the arcs are becoming higher.
Not really. But as the article in the OP says, there is some speculation about it affecting cloud formation.
If the solar radiation did just keep plummeting would the increase in cosmic rays be harmful to the atmosphere?
Effect on electronics Cosmic rays have sufficient energy to alter the states of circuit components in electronic integrated circuits, causing transient errors to occur (such as corrupted data in electronic memory devices or incorrect performance of CPUs) often referred to as "soft errors." This has been a problem in electronics at extremely high-altitude, such as in satellites, but with transistors becoming smaller and smaller, this is becoming an increasing concern in ground-level electronics as well. Studies by IBM in the 1990s suggest that computers typically experience about one cosmic-ray-induced error per 256 megabytes of RAM per month. To alleviate this problem, the Intel Corporation has proposed a cosmic ray detector that could be integrated into future high-density microprocessors, allowing the processor to repeat the last command following a cosmic-ray event. In 2008, data corruption in a flight control system caused an Airbus A330 airliner to twice plunge hundreds of feet, resulting in injuries to multiple passengers and crew members. Cosmic rays were investigated among other possible causes of the data corruption, but were ultimately ruled out as being very unlikely.
Possible mass extinction factor A handful of studies conclude that a nearby supernova or series of supernovas caused the Pliocene marine megafauna extinction event by substantially increasing radiation levels to hazardous amounts for large seafaring animals.
The theory is that increased cosmic radiation increases nucleation which leads to more clouds. So far the theory has not held up very well.
Cloud formation globally though? Meaning increased drought, fires etc or do you think it mightn't be on a scale wide enough for international problems
Yes, those produced by a nearby supernova would be much worse than what normally occur since the flux level would be magnitudes greater than what we experience. Even during solar minimum. Let's hope there is not a nearby supernova, mmkay?
Cosmic Rays er bad, mmKay?
Yes. In the summer sunlight is more intense because the sun is higher in the sky. But it has nothing to do with cosmic rays.
It hasn't been as intense lately, but for a while and especially during the later months of summer, you could feel the heat or the rays on your skin as soon as you went into the sunlight.