+44 more
posted on Jan, 26 2019 @ 04:16 AM
Like many Trump supporters, I was extremely disappointed earlier when Trump seemingly caved to the DNC about the border wall issue. I have also
internally questioned his actions concerning the State of the Union address... he can give this address from anywhere, the Senate chamber, the Oval
Office, the southern border, heck, he could give it on Twitter if he wanted to. The State of the Union is Constitutionally mandated, although the
Constitution is unclear on where it can be given or even when it must be given... the exact wording is "from time to time." January 29th in the
House chambers is simply custom.
Also, why has he not already declared a National Emergency? Apparently the draft is ready. I can understand how he would rather use private
contractors instead of the military... that's an economic boon. But the bigger issue would seem to be the border crisis; it has been ongoing at least
since the 1980s.
One thing I have discovered, the one constant in understanding political maneuvering, is that when things start not making sense, one is looking at
the wrong goal. These are politicians... cruel, malicious, self-serving, unapologetic politicians, but they are certainly not dumb. They have managed
to become wealthy by doing little to nothing except tell others what to do. I consider that pretty intelligent, albeit in a twisted, evil sort of
way.
So what's the real goal here?
I can only think of one thing that makes sense overall, one thing that is more important than the border, even more important than the economy. Bear
with me here... this is going to make a few switchbacks to get where I want to go.
What happens at the State of the Union speech? Well, the President stands up and makes this long-winded speech about what he has been saying for
months, what he wants Congress to do, and why he wants them to do it. He usually invites several people whose stories emphasize the points he wants to
make. There is a lot of pomp and circumstance. All the leaders of the nation are present: the House of Representatives, the Senate, the Cabinet, the
Supreme Court Justices...
The Supreme Court Justices. That is the key.
We all know how Ruth Bader Ginsberg has been in failing health as of late. There have been rumors on top of rumors. She has pneumonia; she is just
recovering. She has a resurgence of cancer; she is cancer free. She is dying; she expects to return soon. No one really knows, because she seems to be
in hiding as of late. The official story is she is recuperating, but this is the first time in her history that she has missed oral arguments.
Trump has already shifted the Supreme Court. He appointed Neil Gorsuch almost immediately to replace the late, great Anthony Scalia. Justice Anthony
Kennedy then retired and Trump appointed Brett Kavanaugh. We all saw that debacle, as the DNC tried every dirty trick in the book to disrupt his
nomination for fear he would be more of a Constitutionalist than Kennedy. They didn't work; Justice Brett Kavanaugh now sits on the Supreme Court,
and future similar exhibitions will not look good for whichever party tries them.
Justice Kennedy was a swing vote. The change in the makeup of the Supreme Court was minor, but still significant due to the precarious balance between
Constitutionalist and Activist. Justice Ginsberg, however, is strictly an Activist. Were she to retire or die during Trump's administration, the
change to the Supreme Court would be earth-shattering and would last for decades. The DNC relies heavily on the Judicial branch to let them implement
policies which are sometimes quite questionable according to the Constitution. They lost the Executive and Legislative branches in 2016, leaving them
with nothing except the Deep State (the bureaucracy of the various departments), the MSM, and the Judicial branch. In 2018, they took back the House,
but lost position in the Senate... leaving the Legislative branch of government in limbo. But Trump has been steadily making inroads into the Deep
State, so really it was a wash.
Now the DNC stands to completely lose the Supreme Court. Their only hope if Ginsberg is really seriously ill? Delay. If they can make it another year,
they can try to postpone the nomination for her replacement until after 2020, leaving the hope of either gaining the Presidency or the Senate... if
they can wait two more years, they have hope of getting another Activist Justice.
Should the State of the Union occur in the House chamber, all of the Justices will be present, except Justice Ruth Bader Ginsberg. The optics
of that could lead to a more fervent push of naming a replacement, which would certainly be a Constitutionalist under Trump. That's why Pelosi pulled
her invite after initially extending it: Justice Ginsberg has taken a turn for the worst. Pelosi cited the shutdown as the reason for the
cancellation, since she couldn't very well say what the real reason was. She kept saying "no" to every request because she wanted to keep the
shutdown in effect and the State of the Union address in limbo. Now, however, Trump has caved to her demands and the State of the Union should be back
on.
But it isn't. Pelosi now wants to stall and negotiate for a future date. The idea is to prevent the State of the Union from happening as normal, and
thus to prevent any public notice of Justice Ginsberg's absence. Stall... stall at any cost. Stall until Trump decides to give up and give the State
of the Union address from somewhere else... anywhere else. Under this new agreement, the government is only back for 20 days, then another shutdown
can happen.
But I don't think that will happen. I think Trump knows Justice Ginsberg's condition as well as Pelosi does. If possible, the DNC will stall long
after Justice Ginsberg passes, allowing her to take an extended leave of absence just because she represents the second key to their power now (the
first was the FBI). Trump sees a chance to present Ginsberg's absence to the public, taking back the Judiciary. So it really has become a chess game,
with a very important prize going to the winner.
I look for more surprising moves in the next three weeks. I expect there to be a lot of pushback on the wall from the pundits, in an attempt to back
Trump into a corner and make him refuse to sign any bills after that. Another shutdown, another stalemate, another delay, another month closer to
delaying a nomination.
Is Justice Ginsberg dead? I don't think so. Should she actually die, it would be nigh impossible to cover it up successfully for long and not have
the truth come out in the end. She could, however, be on life support, just keeping the body fresh. I hope she is still alive; I do not wish her
ill.
I do wish her a happy retirement. May she recover enough for that at least.
TheRedneck