Originally posted by Ryanp5555
but do you guys think we will have world war 3?
Not in the true sense of the word.
As it was said above, I believe we are already fighting WWIII. To be technical though, I would consider the war on terror WWIV - with the cold war
The way I see it, I doubt any of the major powers today ever clash. I mean, what does Russia have to gain by fighting NATO? Absolutely nothing, and
the same goes for NATO countries. Both sides understand that outright war between each other is not in eithers intrest. In WWII, their was land to be
gained, and the leaders of each nation had little to fear. Now adays, the first action in a real war between US and Russia would be total thermo
It is understood by both sides that in order to "win" (defined here as rendering the othersides military useless) nukes MUST be used. For instance,
in order for NATO to prevent Russias massive numbers of tanks from over running Europe, US military doctrine (as well as NATOs) allows the use of
nuclear weapons on them. There is simply no way that the NATO powers could "win" otherwise. On the flip side, Russia would have to nuke the US main
land in order to shut down our industrial capacity. While the US could bomb Russias manufacturing plants with conventional ordinance, Russia would
only be able to hit us with nukes.
So where does that leave the world? In a "war" of which their are two parts:
First there is the grab for power. You see China picking up oil deals in venezuala (spl?) and Iran. You had Russia and France selling weapons to Iraq
for oil, and trying to use the UN to prevent the US from invasion. There is also the EU, formed to deal with larger individual countries on an even
playing field. Then you have the US, becoming ever greater allies with former soviet states, and becoming very close with India.
Then there is the second war. This is a war of culture. The western world - and specifically Europe and Russia - are under a cultural invasion from
Islam. Russia, as is typical of her, is very hardline - they will not tolerate it and the terrorism that it has brought. Europe on the other hand,
with it's liberal imigration policies coupled with EU citizenship, allows all of these Arabs the freedom to join through Turkey (for instance) and
then move to France.
What you are going to see in about 15-30 years is a backlash. Europeans will realize that half their country is now Arab and Muslim, and they will
feel the cultural and social implications of that. Slowly, their own laws will allow the growing Arab population to take them over, using their
So there you have it. The war on terrorism, which I believe history will show was WWIII or WWIV much as WWI was originally called The Great War, is
both a cultural war (Islam vs Christianity, Democracy vs Islamic law) and the new cold war where in each party tries to gain more power then the other
without actually confronting the enemy.
My prediction - the war lasts 100 or so years, in the end Europe falls, though Russia prevails while the US and China try to claim different parts of
the middle east and Africa (which will be the next great focus).