Right Wing Extremist Fallacy
The conventional wisdom among the media and the left is that republicans have been moving to the right at an alarming rate. If we were to believe them
, the republican ranks would be filled with people just shy of open neo-nazism and white supremacy. Of course, anyone with a few functioning brain
cells and a memory longer than a gold fish knows that this isn't the case. While conservatism has moved right, the entire idea of it makes hard
shifts basically a non-starter.
However, what we don't often hear in the media is how far left the democratic party has gone. Sure there are stories here or there about fringe
leftists winning a primary or an election, but they are treated as one off events. Certainly they're not indicative of a larger extremism problem in
the democratic party, the media tells us. The dems are very moderate and just want to work together! Riiiiiight.
Well here's the data showing that it is indeed the dems who have an extremism problem. This is the distribution of house candidates who won their
Here's that same image with a line drawn up through the starting point so you can see how far each party has moved:
The image is taken from this
which explains that the far left democrat is not actually appealing to the average American and if Dems would just moderate they'd do much
Democrats have never been more extremist in any election prior to 2018. This is the absolute craziest the dems have ever been.
Meanwhile republicans have actually moderated a little since their most extreme point in 2010.
One other thing that is quite interesting is the distributions of both parties. The republicans have pretty well maintained a standard Gaussian (bell)
curve. Meanwhile the democrats have morphed from a Gaussian curve to a Gamma distribution since the 2000 election. What this means is the party is
extremely fractured. They're in the midst of a civil war and the people with the most numbers are the extremists. Now, those extremists are
outnumbered by the rest of the party but the rest of the party isn't a unified whole. If you're having trouble understanding the picture I'm painting,
You have a four way gang fight.
Gang A has 10 members, B has 7, C has 6 D has 4. They're in a perpetual turf war, who is going to win? Sure if the other three decided to oppose gang
A, they could eliminate them, but unless there is an alliance to get rid of gang A, gang A has the highest chance of success.
But the idea that the dems will kick the extremists to the curb is but a fantasy. They've been growing this extremist wing with purpose since the turn
of the century. If they did kick them out, they would never win another national election as the republican party has unified (as evidenced by the
Gaussian curve). What you'd end up with is a third party of hardcore socialists which would guarantee a republican presidency for the next 40
The Democrat/Leftist Strategy
So what is the purpose the dems have been growing this socialist wing? Control, obviously. The vast majority of americans (prior to millennial's)
opposed socialism. Democrat or republican didn't make much of a difference. Obviously dems were more predisposed but even they weren't fans of
socialism. Yet, the millennial generation was conditioned to accept socialism. Why, what was the end game?
Judging by the events of the last 20 years I'd say this was the long term plan:
1) destroy republican enthusiasm with RINO's (Think McCain/Flake/Boehner/Ryan)
2) splinter the republican party (they tried desperately to do this during the obama admin)
3) softly lean into socialism, starting with healthcare (obamacare was designed to fail)
4) pack the circuit courts with activists (and kill off Scalia)
5) sow discontent with a slow economy (new normal)
6) open borders to ensure a democrat/socialist majority for a genereation
Where are we now? Well Trump wasn't supposed to win (they never thought he could). How do you know? They never would have killed scalia if they
thought the republicans had a decent chance. They predicted mcconnell delaying the vote, in fact, they wanted it (which is why obama nominated
garland instead of a hardcore lefty). After Hillary won, his nomination was to be rescinded and hillary was to be allowed to pick the newest SCOTUS
justice (afterall, mcconnell delayed so the next president could decide). This is also why RBG didn't retire. Why retire when hillary was going to
have a more friendly senate than obama had with 54 republican senators (republicans were supposed to have a razor thin senate margin, maybe even a
Trump put a major hole in their plans by running on reversing #5 and #6 and winning. Having a republican house and senate to go with it really set
them back. That's why russian collusion has drug on. But now they have the house so expect Mueller to finish up soon. They don't need him anymore and
his mission is mostly accomplished (no, he didn't get trump impeached, but he did slow down progress on the trump agenda by making many congress
critters nervous that there really was russian collusion). Now that they have the house they will attempt to poison the economy. They will attempt to
trade permanent advantages for temporary ones (eg amnesty for a border wall that will never get built, like reagan).
Also, they have moved their warfare to social media. Trump winning on 5 and 6 was unforeseen. The idea that those Trump ideas would be popular and
flourish awakened them to a fatal flaw, free speech combined with an always connected world. So they're moving to censor conservatives and the right
via social media companies. They ran their influence campaign through google in 2016. 2020 will be the year of the conservative blackout. 2018 was the
dry run. I expect they'll relent a little until the end of 2019, just to keep regulators away until it is too late for regulators to have an effect on
the 2020 election.
Let me zoom back out so you can see the whole picture, if you're having trouble. We have a hardcore socialist contingency of voters, a media whose job
it is to keep them socialist and convince the rest of the party that the republicans are not an alternative, they're kkk nazi bigots, socialism is
just much nicer. We have a congress which is now divided and at best will accomplish nothing of note. Without congress, trump is only about as
effective as obama was (what, it took trump 3-6 months to undo the vast majority of obama's two terms?). We have social media companies who are going
to silence the opposition as much as possible without triggering backlash from regulators. And that's how they plan to get back on the socialist track
They're going to be extra motivated, too. Because if they can't win in 2020, the socialist contingency is probably going to grow restless and split
off from the democratic party. At which point they will be destroyed by their own plans.
ETA: If republican's win 2020 their strategy has to be to push the socialists to form their own independent party, separate from the dems.
edit on 4-12-2018 by Dfairlite because: (no reason given)
edit on 4-12-2018 by Dfairlite because: (no reason given)