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The Trumpian Attribution Error Explains the Press' Mental Hand Waves

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posted on Jun, 14 2018 @ 06:01 PM
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The notion that “what people do reflects who they are” is a common cognitive bias. When judging others, people tend to overestimate the importance of traits and characteristics, while at the same time underestimating the influence of external factors. Thus, we conclude that a man is speeding through traffic because he is a maniac, when perhaps he is a loving husband racing to witness the birth of his first born child. Social psychologists have dubbed this bias the “fundamental attribution error” (FAE).

There is a Trumpian variation of this bias found common in the politics of the day. Journalists, pundits and their priggish believers have presented post hoc conclusions about Trump’s behaviour, often basing them entirely upon internal processes wholly invisible to them—desires, motivations, thoughts, personality—long before they even mention the importance of situational, external, or environmental factors, and especially not the results.

A little benefit of the doubt could go a long way to promote accuracy. But even though Trump has explained his motives, reasons and intentions in contrast to the sea of negative reporting about his behaviour—he is the only one with any insight into them, after all—the psychics of the anti-Trump brigade have nonetheless eschewed them, even impugning his explanations as outright lies and bad faith, leaving themselves no recourse but to rely on unfair, unverified and unverifiable fantasy. In the end their sordid web of falsities stands teetering upon this malicious, misinformed base of shifting sands. They are forever doomed to live like Sisyphus, fighting to prop up their nonsense, only to have it crumble again and again.

From this tiny misapprehension arises a cascade of others. The pundit must then reach into his fanny-pack of fantasy to explain away his contradictions. The examples are myriad.

- Trump mocks Rosie O’Donnel because he is a misogynist and a bully, not because she viciously mocked him on live television. With this we must explain away with a hand wave his appointment of women to the highest seats of power.

- Trump calls some countries #hole countries because he is a racist and “wants to make America white again”, not because he was challenging a silly proposal that protects immigrants from Haiti, El Salvador and African countries at the expense of other immigrants. With this we must explain away with a hand wave his every interaction with non-white people, none of which have been racist.

Trump mocks a reporter who happens to be disabled because Trump is “cruel”, “callous”, has a “fragile ego”, not because his silly grovelling impression coincidentally resembles the disability when you happen freeze the video at a certain point (arthrogryposis is known for extended/pronated joints, limited mobility, but not flailing arms and funny voices). We must then explain away with a hand wave every time he made the same imitation on others, even on himself, nor any moment of empathy and charity he has ever committed to.

The inflated belief in Trump’s personality traits has led them to assume that Trump’s behaviours are the result of his characteristics and nothing besides. But no amount of vapouring over Trump’s psychology has ever produced any credible predictions. The denial of civil rights, the rise of warfare, the race wars, the war on women, the war on sexual, racial, and religions minorities—none of it came to fruition. No; the results of his leadership thus far have contradicted their egregious prophecies, rendering themselves and their body of work foolish.

- LesMis

edit on 14-6-2018 by LesMisanthrope because: (no reason given)




posted on Jun, 14 2018 @ 06:08 PM
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a reply to: LesMisanthrope

The same is true for any president as we have seen with Obama. We have seen the errors of attribution on Obama. For example, he being secretly Muslim and supports terrorists because he is sympathic towards Muslims.

Even if we are not 100% accurate in the attribution, we can approximate what a person really feels and thinks.



posted on Jun, 14 2018 @ 06:11 PM
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a reply to: RowanBean




The same is true for any president as we have seen with Obama. We have seen the errors of attribution on Obama. For example, he being secretly Muslim and supports terrorists because he is sympathic towards Muslims.

Even if we are not 100% accurate in the attribution, we can approximate what a person really feels and thinks.


It's true for everyone. It is, however, particularly egregious in the case of Trump.



posted on Jun, 14 2018 @ 06:13 PM
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a reply to: LesMisanthrope


Trump was more successful by age 30 than all the whiners will ever be...even if they live to age 100. It is safe to view them, as nothing more than empty distractors.



posted on Jun, 14 2018 @ 06:13 PM
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originally posted by: LesMisanthrope
a reply to: RowanBean




The same is true for any president as we have seen with Obama. We have seen the errors of attribution on Obama. For example, he being secretly Muslim and supports terrorists because he is sympathic towards Muslims.

Even if we are not 100% accurate in the attribution, we can approximate what a person really feels and thinks.


It's true for everyone. It is, however, particularly egregious in the case of Trump.

Worse than being called a terrorist sympathizer?


+1 more 
posted on Jun, 14 2018 @ 06:15 PM
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originally posted by: RowanBean

originally posted by: LesMisanthrope
a reply to: RowanBean




The same is true for any president as we have seen with Obama. We have seen the errors of attribution on Obama. For example, he being secretly Muslim and supports terrorists because he is sympathic towards Muslims.

Even if we are not 100% accurate in the attribution, we can approximate what a person really feels and thinks.


It's true for everyone. It is, however, particularly egregious in the case of Trump.

Worse than being called a terrorist sympathizer?


Yes, the coverage of Trump is unprecedented in its negativity.



posted on Jun, 14 2018 @ 06:16 PM
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originally posted by: LesMisanthrope

originally posted by: RowanBean

originally posted by: LesMisanthrope
a reply to: RowanBean




The same is true for any president as we have seen with Obama. We have seen the errors of attribution on Obama. For example, he being secretly Muslim and supports terrorists because he is sympathic towards Muslims.

Even if we are not 100% accurate in the attribution, we can approximate what a person really feels and thinks.


It's true for everyone. It is, however, particularly egregious in the case of Trump.

Worse than being called a terrorist sympathizer?


Yes, the coverage of Trump is unprecedented in its negativity.

Reporting Trump's negative behavior is not the same as being negative.



posted on Jun, 14 2018 @ 06:17 PM
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a reply to: RowanBean




Reporting Trump's negative behavior is not the same as being negative.


No, I said the reporting was 90% negative.



posted on Jun, 14 2018 @ 06:19 PM
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originally posted by: LesMisanthrope
a reply to: RowanBean




Reporting Trump's negative behavior is not the same as being negative.


No, I said the reporting was 90% negative.

Yep 93% of the reporting on his negative behavior on the first 100 days of presidency. No study on the rest of days ever done.



posted on Jun, 14 2018 @ 06:23 PM
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originally posted by: RowanBean

originally posted by: LesMisanthrope
a reply to: RowanBean




Reporting Trump's negative behavior is not the same as being negative.


No, I said the reporting was 90% negative.

Yep 93% of the reporting on his negative behavior on the first 100 days of presidency. No study on the rest of days ever done.


No, it was "hostile" reporting. Here's a second study by the Media Research Center. Source



posted on Jun, 14 2018 @ 06:28 PM
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originally posted by: LesMisanthrope

originally posted by: RowanBean

originally posted by: LesMisanthrope
a reply to: RowanBean




Reporting Trump's negative behavior is not the same as being negative.


No, I said the reporting was 90% negative.

Yep 93% of the reporting on his negative behavior on the first 100 days of presidency. No study on the rest of days ever done.


No, it was "hostile" reporting. Here's a second study by the Media Research Center. Source
< br /> Aren't most reportings on presidents "hostile". It seems that the more people worship a president or the more egotistical a president is, the more the reportings seem to be hostile.
It certainly seem to be the case here. The Trump cult is astounding to watch. If Trump calls anything fake news, even Fox News, his supporters would walk all over themselves believing him.



posted on Jun, 14 2018 @ 06:32 PM
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originally posted by: RowanBean

originally posted by: LesMisanthrope

originally posted by: RowanBean

originally posted by: LesMisanthrope
a reply to: RowanBean




Reporting Trump's negative behavior is not the same as being negative.


No, I said the reporting was 90% negative.

Yep 93% of the reporting on his negative behavior on the first 100 days of presidency. No study on the rest of days ever done.


No, it was "hostile" reporting. Here's a second study by the Media Research Center. Source
< br /> Aren't most reportings on presidents "hostile". It seems that the more people worship a president or the more egotistical a president is, the more the reportings seem to be hostile.
It certainly seem to be the case here. The Trump cult is astounding to watch. If Trump calls anything fake news, even Fox News, his supporters would walk all over themselves believing him.


Wasn’t it Barbara Walters who called Obama the messiah?



posted on Jun, 14 2018 @ 06:36 PM
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a reply to: LesMisanthrope

Some Trump supporters still think he's the orange messiah.



posted on Jun, 14 2018 @ 06:37 PM
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originally posted by: RowanBean
a reply to: LesMisanthrope

Some Trump supporters still think he's the orange messiah.


For instance?



posted on Jun, 14 2018 @ 07:12 PM
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"You gotta see this guy!"



posted on Jun, 14 2018 @ 07:21 PM
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a reply to: carewemust

Here we go again...One could say the same about Hillary.



posted on Jun, 14 2018 @ 07:44 PM
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a reply to: kaylaluv
What? Her own words were that she and Willie were "flat broke" when they left the White House.
Seriously? Being flat broke isn't success, especially when you've been living on the dole for almost two decades.



posted on Jun, 14 2018 @ 07:46 PM
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originally posted by: carewemust
a reply to: LesMisanthrope


Trump was more successful by age 30 than all the whiners will ever be...even if they live to age 100. It is safe to view them, as nothing more than empty distractors.


If we could all only do nothing except be born to a rich ahole, and then be given the equivalent of ~7+ million (by today's measurement) by our father...

And yet still blow it repeatedly in a business capacity, have terribly tacky taste, cheat on wives repeatedly (although admittedly that happened after he was 30), admit to buying off politicians, engage in tons of shady business deals, develop an attitude and an ego that represents the worst in what Americans can become... eh, I'll pass on success. I'd rather be much poorer and be able to sleep knowing that I'm a decent person, both on paper and in my own head.
edit on 14-6-2018 by okrian because: (no reason given)



posted on Jun, 14 2018 @ 08:25 PM
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a reply to: carewemust

With a "small" loan of a million dollars and a silver spoon in his mouth force feeding him opportunities left right and center.

Compare him to a humble person like Bill gates, Henry Ford, Rockefeller. His legacy is nothing compared to them, even if he is the current POTUS, his personal business was real estate, which failed half the time. He will be added to the list of presidents, from here on out, while Bill gates and Henry Ford, etc will be remembered for their contribution to humanity.



posted on Jun, 14 2018 @ 08:38 PM
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See? You can watch The Trumpian Attribution Error in real time.



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