a reply to: Peeple
Unfortunately, as with the case of many of the online psychic tests, I would really be leery about using such tools as a validation.
In this case, it's not impossible to get a high number of guesses, but to be a fair scientist here, I wouldn't trust results because:
1. There's only 5 options to select from in each test. Which means right off the bat, you have a 20% chance of randomly guessing and getting the card
Now then, think about a modern deck of cards (72). While your odds of randomly guessing the correct card in the stack goes down, it is also more
likely that if you get a higher score, it may indicate something is there.
2. These tests do not allow for a control - The control in any scientific experiment is the number you want to compare your results to. In websites
like this, the control would basically be set up to randomly "guess" a card while the random algorithm "generates" a card.
With the control, you can get some very basic stats:
A. The total number of correct "guesses" (the computer randomly made) out of the number of total runs.
B. The frequency of randomly generated symbols or cards that were selected (IE: Maybe the algorithm consistently picked the square symbol 60% of the
time for you to guess).
C. A pattern to the algorithm used to randomly select the items for you to "guess". It's easy to trick you into thinking you are getting results.
And no, you can't simply randomly "guess" to act as a control, either. My reason for saying this is that you (as the person) already have the intent
to attempt to see if you are psychic - you cannot rule out completely that even while "randomly" guessing you are not already having a psychic
influence on the computer! Therefore, you need a "dumb" entity to select a card without bias (aka: The Computer).
Now then, if your numbers for guessing are higher than what the control gives (say out of 100 cards the control averaged about 30% by guessing alone,
and in the same number of runs you predicted 90% of the cards), that is where you should analyze further.
D. For all you know, someone could have made it seem like you are getting results. Think about an arcade game - many of them are rigged to let someone
win every x number of tries to entice people to play that machine again. It wouldn't be that hard to do the same on a simple website like this.
And before anyone calls me a party pooper - The above is coming from someone who practices astral projection every night (with the scientific method
If you'd like, feel free to msg me - I could probably code something that would be a better "test" so to speak.