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SCI/TECH: Another Possible Above Normal Hurricane Season.

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posted on Feb, 9 2005 @ 05:48 PM
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The same strong high-pressure ridge which prevented hurricanes to turn north in the Atlantic and which steered 4 hurricanes towards South Florida last year, is still at the same area as it was last year, and it's pattern is very similar as it was last year. This means that we can expect another above average hurricane season this year. If the Bermuda High which took it's name because it centers over the small island of Bermuda, does not break up in the next few months, Florida could experience another intense hurricane season.
 



www.sun-sentinel.com
Historically, about a third of all major hurricanes, with winds greater than 110 mph, make U.S. landfall. Yet until 2004, only three had done so from 1995 to 2003, even though 32 major systems developed in the same period.

That luck ran out last year, and the odds don't look good this year, Stewart said. Still, he said, residents should not get caught up in seasonal forecasts but instead should prepare as though one powerful storm could hit.

"Our emphasis through the years has been: Be prepared because you can get an Andrew-type storm even in a quiet year, with devastating results," he said, referring to Hurricane Andrew, a Category 5 system that tore apart south Miami-Dade County in 1992.



Please visit the link provided for the complete story.


This strong high-pressure ridge has already caused Palm Beach County to have the wettest month ever in September, states the article. We still have a few months to see if this strong high-pressure ridge does not break up.

But just in case, people in Florida and the southern states should be prepared for another above normal hurricane season.

Folks get ready for what could possibly be another strong hurricane season.

[edit on 9-2-2005 by Muaddib]

[edit on 9-2-2005 by TrickmastertricK]




posted on Feb, 9 2005 @ 06:07 PM
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Did Mayfield come out with his predictions for this year yet?
I'm going with 18 named storms, 8 being major hurricanes.



posted on Feb, 9 2005 @ 06:39 PM
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Here is what Mayfield has to say about this year's hurricane season.


Mayfield said it was impossible to foresee what the 2005 hurricane season holds. He said that when the hurricane season begins in June there isn't even any way to predict when the first hurricane will occur. He emphasized everyone to make advance preparation for such hurricanes and said valuable information is presented every year about how to get ready for the hurricane season every March during the annual "Hurricane Preparedness Week."


Excepted from.
www.insurancejournal.com...

Also on May 16, the National hurricane center is supposed to release the predictions for 2005.


The center will release its prediction for the 2005 season on May 16, but Mayfield said it is likely that a trend of increasing activity will continue.


Excerpted from.
www.wtnh.com...

Do notice the part where he says "it is likely that a trend of increasing activity will continue."

Knowing that this strong high-pressure ridge which caused the above average season last year is still in the same place and it doesn't seem to be diminishing, i think he is going to be right, there is going to be an increase activity of hurricanes hitting Florida and the southern states.

[edit on 9-2-2005 by Muaddib]



posted on Feb, 9 2005 @ 08:08 PM
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I found this interesting bit, I am hoping to be prepared before May even ends this year. I've been lucky for 10 years now, hopefully my luck will continue to hold out but since you never know, I rather be prepared than be sorry or deal with the crowds and madness that occurs when a storm threatens.

Bermuda High May Steer Hurricanes Toward Florida Again


The strong high-pressure ridge that steered four hurricanes toward Florida last summer is still out there -- and could direct more storms our way this year.

"Right now, the pattern is very similar to what we had last year," hurricane specialist Stacy Stewart of the National Hurricane Center said Tuesday. "So people should plan on this being another above-average season."

The ridge has already caused Palm Beach County to have its wettest month ever in September -- followed by the driest four-month period ever, from October through January. The result: Palm Beach and Broward counties are drying out, increasing fire danger.

Called the Bermuda High because it is centered over the small island, the ridge last year prevented hurricanes from turning north in the Atlantic, forcing them on a westerly track toward Florida.

Unless it breaks apart in the next few months, and it's unknown whether it will, the upcoming hurricane season, which starts June 1, again could be tense, forecasters said. In addition to Florida, the pressure ridge creates a threat for the rest of the lower U.S. coast.

Stewart emphasized it is extremely unlikely that four hurricanes will again batter Florida, as Charley, Frances, Ivan and Jeanne did last year. Experts say that kind of catastrophe happens on average once every 100 to 200 years.

However, because the Atlantic basin has been in an active era since 1995, it would not be unusual to see two intense systems slam the state, Stewart said.




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