Can we infer some significance and cause from UFO sightings when reviewed by time of day and specific demographic or group? - A 2 part study
proposal that I'd like some feedback on.
There has been a healthy amount of study of the possible significance of the time of day that UFOs are commonly seen at. The typical peak of UFO
sightings is from around 8 pm to midnight, and this stat is derived from many hundreds of reports over the decades. (It would not be an exaggeration
to say thousands, with CUFOS having well over 200,000 sightings.) This paper by V.J. Ballester Olmos
) is one of many papers illustrating this time statistic. There is a paper on a
time-series analysis (drive.google.com...
) that was done to determine if UFO sightings correlated with the
positions of certain stars and planets. And of course it's always a concern that if UFO sightings are common at night, it's because
misidentifications occur easily in darkness. I'm considering another approach.
Pilots are great witnesses of UFOs, because not only are they in an ideal position to see them and are considered trained observers, they are also
able at times to pursue and interact during a sighting, something that isn't easy for a ground observer. Pilot sightings can produce enough
information to consider a sighting unidentified or potentially anomalous. These sightings can often yield high quality information.
Statistics show that UFO sighting peak is from around 8 pm to midnight, and that's from many many years of analysis and a large amount of reports, so
it's a good figure, except that those reports contained in the data set can and have contained less confident and reliable information, and often
I want to commit to a study that shows the times of pilot sightings, and see how it may differ from the general time statistic.
To take this a bit further, it makes me think it might be worth breaking down sightings based on the times they are seen by specific groups, such as
industry, agricultural/rural, power production, ocean transport, and metro center residents, for example.
What times do military folk see UFOs while on duty? What times do civilian cattle ranchers see them? Since we group them all together so often to
produce our general time stat, maybe if we separate them based on a different rubric we'll find a different distribution of time. As a less creative
example, what if military personnel commonly have UFO sightings during the day and civilians commonly have them at night? This method of pattern
searching isn't much different from what we've been doing since the beginning.
I'm about ready to purchase UFOCAT-2009. Likewise, if anyone has access to any relevant literature or materials, I'd appreciate a link.