It will be a complex situation depending on who goes to war with whom.
The dominant political discourse in South Africa is generally "anti-Western", as a hiccup from the Cold War era liberation movements, who lean towards
Russia is a red herring these days. a business partner for some politicians, but they're increasingly seen as racist and anti-leftist.
On the other hand, we also have US military bases (notably at Waterkloof); SA helped with renditions during the US-led War on Terror (although we also
have ISIS de facto training camps), and while technically illegal, white males with military training from the previous regime (which conscripted all
white males) formed the third largest unofficial military force in Iraq and Afghanistan. The ANC didn't like that, but could do nothing to stop it,
and aging white males had little option but to become mercenaries after President Mbeki kicked them out of the defence force.
Their service was much lauded, to the chagrin of Mbeki, whose socialist trained army had their weapons stolen from under their noses during
interventions in the Congo.
Although arguably that white demographic is likely to be over forty now, and no longer the fittest.
Much of our historic leverage was taken by the dismantling of our atomic bombs (another sore point for the ANC - the world didn't trust them with
nuclear weapons), and decreasing production in our once famed mines (with continuing labor issues).
Then politicians seem to be prostitutes to the highest bidder rather than having monolithic national interests.
Our neighbors are similarly divisive, with successful Botswana aligned to the US, and Zimbabwe (although an economic nightmare, their army
nevertheless is now more effective than ours) having traditional ties to China and even North Korea.
My sense is that we will be a nation of mercenaries without a singular conscription or national interest.
We already employ mercenaries (largely from central Africa) as private security at institutions with major unrest, like university campuses. The
loyalty of locals to the state can no longer be guaranteed. Most of the state apparatus will be needed to quell local unrest, but many will fight
abroad as mercenaries for financial or ideological reasons (a bit reminiscent of World War II).
That will be the role of Africa.
In fact, not only Africa - it will cause unrest to the point of civil war if general conscription is enforced in even most Western countries.
World War III will be professionally privatized.
It will be run by companies alongside limited voluntary national forces.
You pay - we fight.
edit on 10-5-2017 by halfoldman because: (no reason given)