a reply to: andy06shake
The issue is that Trump insulted them.
As a leader in the free world you do not, repeat, do not insult other countries. Wars have been started for less.
Trump is a child Uneducated in real world politics and negotiations. He ignores the advise of his various directorate 'cause he things they are
He is experience is brow beating contractor, shifting assets and declaring bankrupcy. This the business ethic he works by.
Can you understand that we are concerned he might do some thing stupid like trade Guam to the Chinese for a free Taiwan.
I realize my example seems simple but its very high level strategic stuff.
So they make the deal.
us leaves Guam.
Days later China invades or radiates Guam.
Result we cannot stage easily from the Pacific
China could be possibly staged from the Philippines hence the Philippines is their allies.
China luanches attack on Taiwan non nuclear
They will need it the factories etc.
Diego Garcis next, non nuc, immediate deploy of troops to hold. Now the US has extreme difficult staging a counter attack.
(That take a week, the rest is slower)
Iran or Iraq joins them in a land war sweeping back to the east China will press from their side
North Korea under direction of China nucs India and they have lots of bombs
Australia is toast.
Okay it's a little over the top but strategI call possible. The long drawn out election process actual allow foreign government time to plan along
these lines .
I have to go right a novel now I just did the outline.