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Any chance you want to post the next 10 predictions here so we can see if the 80% holds up with 7-9 of those being true? I watched the video and I didn't hear an explanation of the criteria for calculating accuracy, but I bet I can beat 80% with this prediction:
originally posted by: Bobaganoosh
a reply to: anonentity
Been running the app since beta.
It just broke 80% accuracy.
Can't wait to attend the conference in April.
That's just M1.5 or greater, but instead of just 24 earthquakes in the last 24 hours, if you count all earthquakes there were likely over 100 in the last 24 hours.
California, United States has had: (M1.5 or greater)
24 earthquakes in the past 24 hours
145 earthquakes in the past 7 days
1,153 earthquakes in the past 30 days
7,878 earthquakes in the past 365 days
72 hours? When does that 72 hours expire in that prediction? When was it made?
originally posted by: Bobaganoosh
I believe it is 72 hours. He says anything beyond that would instill a sense of complacency, and wouldn't do any good as far as preparation would be concerned.
I forgot to mention in my previous post that anything downgraded by USGS below 6 is considered a miss as well. That has happened a couple of times where initial reports are 6.1 or so, then downgraded for whatever reason.
The electric universe concept does not meet the National Academy of Sciences’ definition of a “theory,” which is “a comprehensive explanation of some aspect of nature that is supported by a vast body of evidence” and “can be used to make predictions about natural events or phenomena that have not yet been observed.”
In physics, theories need math. That’s how you predict, gather evidence, verify, disprove, and support. But EU theory isn’t big on math. In fact, “Mathematics is not physics,” Thornhill said. While that equation aversion makes the theory pretty much a nonstarter for “mainstream” astronomers, it is the exact thing that appeals to many adherents.
Putting together an emergency kit does not have to be difficult or expensive. We recommend that your kit has enough supplies to last you seven to 10 days. Its also could to have a smaller to-go kit in case you need to quickly leave your home. Having kits at work and in your car is also a good idea. To get you started, here are five things that are absolutely necessary to have in an emergency kit.
1 gallon per person per day
1/2 for drinking, 1/2 for cooking/sanitation
Store food that's high in calories and has a long shelf-life
Consider meal replacement bars, canned foods and dry food items that don't need to be cooked to eat
Make sure to include food you like to eat
Avoid candles to minimize fire risk
Include safe light options like a battery-powered flashlight with extra batteries or a hand-crank flashlight
Light sticks are a long-lasting source of light that are inexpensive and fits easily into any size bag
Warm & Dry Clothes
Include at least one change of clothing
If you get wet, it's important that you get dry as soon as possible because moisture pulls heat away from your body (wool or synthetic clothing that wicks moisture away from your body is recommended)
To stay warm and dry you can also pack extra blankets, a tarp or rain gear
First Aid Kit
Include items for basic care like adhesive bandages, antiseptic wipes, gauze pads, scissors, tweezers and pain-relief medication
Make sure to include medications and equipment specific to your needs
Someone said they work 80% of the time, but he doesn't show the 20% that didn't work.
originally posted by: KrzYma
a reply to: Arbitrageur
I think you are just a little jealous that the predictions work.