They lost me at...
Stiglitz cites ‘broad consensus’ Trump policies won’t work
Another broad consensus, huh? I guess we can all just stop thinking and take as gospel the conclusions of macro economists who believe that the
destruction of the American and Canadian manufacturing base...and their Middle Class as a consequence...is simply a necessary "adjustment" in the
long-term economic goal of having a global equilibrium that provides for all peoples everywhere equally.
That is a wonderful sentiment, except for the following little issues (which these egg heads should also plug into their economic model...as they are
all known factors...before pontificating).
1) The planet does not have adequate raw resources to fully supply (feed, house and care for), or provide a comfortable existence for, today's global
population. Therefore, there are going to be "haves" and "have nots"...which category do you want to be in America?
2) If we are to, or seriously attempt to, raise the average standards of living to those enjoyed by the "Western" societies, we are going to massively
pollute the Earth with emissions and residues, we will deplete (faster than we are already) natural food stocks (like fish), run out of agricultural
land and water.
3) The issue is not Free Trade, it is Fair Trade. If an individual prosperous Country, or Region, decides to adopt a "Free Trade" stance, under the
current political definition of that, and open their borders to goods coming from less prosperous (and generally more populous) Countries which (a)
pay very low wages, (b) have little or no employee benefits, (c) have little or no workplace safety standards, (d) have very low environmental
regulations, (e) have very low land values and highly preferable tax regimes, (f) manipulate their currencies to keep them low versus Western nations
and (g) put up trade barriers (covertly or overtly) to prevent finished goods from their "trading partners" impacting their own domestic markets -
then you will have a trade disaster...which is what we have today.
The sad thing is that people, including these economists apparently, cannot only not see what serious economic erosion has already occurred - they
can't seem to see what is coming next.
Let me try to summarize:
1) Manufacturing collapses, as cheap foreign-made goods flood the Western domestic markets
2) Economic efforts shift/slide toward an emphasis on Service (like Retail) Supply jobs and Intellectual Property creation
3) Domestic Online Sales, on a massive scale (think Amazon etc.) begin to seriously erode Retail jobs and networks
4) Industrial espionage (think hacking), carried out by our wonderful trading Partners, shifts technical innovation quickly to pirate nations...who
turn these into more cheap and superior products
5) Trading Partners subsidize export transportation to allow shipping direct to consumers in Western Countries (thereby undercutting both Retail and
Domestic Online Companies)...ever notice how many Hong Kong and mainland China Ebay sellers can offer "free shipping" (think Alibaba and Taobao)?
6) So, jobs at transportation concerns like UPS, Purolator, Fedex, etc. will boom for a while...that is until technology allows for driverless
vehicles and delivery systems (not very far away).
Unless there is a Trump intervention, forget what these tenured boobs say, what is America's economy going to look like with (relatively) no jobs in
manufacturing, retail or transportation. With the National Debt already at $20 trillion...how much longer can the Government continue to simply print
money to support an ever-growing army of unemployed and underemployed people (unemployment benefits, welfare, food stamps, schooling, etc., etc. - and
when that army would continue to grow under the Left's open border policies?
Will Trump's approach work..only time will tell. But to stay on the current course, well, that we can know for certain would lead to utter disaster.