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The JIT interim report
Reforms tied to the Minsk accord include changing Ukraine's constitution to decentralize government, something foreign investors say would greatly speed up decision-making.
Minsk was extended beyond its end-2015 deadline and although it does not have a new, formal deadline it is not open-ended. "Ukraine has a deadline.
They need to push those reforms now, they can't wait," Jensen said.
In the morning of 17 July 2014, the MIVD communicated the results of this investigation in its daily intelligence summary (‘dagintsum’), which had a number of users, including the NCTV and the AIVD. The MIVD assessed it to be unlikely that the Antonov had been shot down by a powerful anti-aircraft system (separate from the question whether this had been carried out from Russian territory). From pictures of the wreckage and eyewitness accounts it was clear that the aeroplane’s right-hand engine had been hit and that 5 to 6 parachutes had subsequently appeared. The Antonov had allegedly crashed only then. On this basis, the MIVD concluded that the appearance of the damage was not consistent with a hit by a powerful anti-aircraft system. The aeroplane would in that case probably have been destroyed in the air. The crew would probably not have survived if this had been the case. According to the MIVD, the wreckage and the eyewitnesses supported the fact that the aircraft was shot out of the air by a MANPADS from Ukrainian territory. This would only have been possible if the Antonov were flying substantially lower than 6,200 or 6,500 metres. Another possibility was that a short-range, vehicleborne anti-aircraft system had been used. The information received from the MIVD does not point to the use of a powerful air defence system.
On the other hand, as your link do graciously points out, the separatists had a history of downing Ukrainian aircraft. In that same area no less.