After further review and analysis, I've determined that Texas won't go blue this year, but, the only reason for that is because it was always
considered by the Dems and the Clinton campaign to be a Red State not worth fighting for. Had they campaigned there, and poured resources into it, as
with Florida for example, it could have been won. Same thing with Georgia.
This reveals a lack of imagination and a cautionary "traditionalist" bent to the Clinton campaign who were so concerned with protecting her "Blue
Wall" to guard the path to 270, that they failed, early on in envisioning a possible landslide victory and thus a mandate that would have awarded them
with a hat trick, winning the Presidency, and control of both the House and the Senate.
It was a missed opportunity.,
But if the Republican Party doesn't get its act together after this election, and come up with something more affirmative, optimistic and inclusive -
then they WILL be wiped out in 2020, provided Hillary is able to deliver on her promises and say bring the Bernie Sanders people into her camp while
governing and being held to account, with some hard lessons learned along the way I'm sure.
I think that Georgia and Texas, for a total of 56 prize electoral votes, reveals a demographic that ought to favor the Democratic progressive platform
- if it can deliver for them and maintain the upward trend of positive outlook indicators, which are swinging away from a more pessimistic and cynical
view of the country as peddled by Donald Trump.
This is a big problem for the Republicans, because the Dems won't make the same mistake next time - unless there's still time....?
If you HEAVED resources in that direction, right now, with Georgia being an extension of Florida's ground game, then it might be possible to flip both
those States with great closing argument ads, and field offices for the get out the vote - but that could be done via the Internet, with a calling and
door to door volunteer swell during these last two weeks.
The Clinton Campaign understands the use of ground operations and a field office infrastructure.
If this is a type of "war" then why not pivot and make a bid for Texas and Georgia. Right now the Clinton campaign is only out by around three or four
points max, with 10% remaining undecided until late in the game... which swings it, those undecided voters who if they see a good case put forward in
a closing argument, are likely to tip in favor of Clinton.
Which is why, while Citizen's United has not yet been overturned, if I were the Clinton Campaign I'd be cold calling big money donors with Clinton
herself manning the phone to drum up a surprise 100 million for the final week.
An indicator will be if Democrat SuperPACs suddenly swell with donations - and I don't see why they wouldn't in order to prevent Trump from winning
while securing a mandate to govern and to enact the Party Platform, which is a good one, worked out in collaboration with Bernie Sanders.
This next week is going to be filled with fireworks!
Clinton I think has shown herself to be on a rather conservative approach that goes no further than where the information and initial assessments
indicate, and to a degree lacks a certain courage and boldness, as if careful to play it safe and not somehow blow the opportunity to win it.
That's a good trait in a future President (not a loose cannon), even if in this case they didn't get ahead of the curve, but there's still time if
they pay attention to what goes on at ATS (which is possible). LOL
Therefore, I'm not about to completely give up and say I lost the bet of the OP, yet...
edit on 27-10-2016 by AnkhMorpork because: (no reason given)