posted on Oct, 5 2016 @ 01:12 AM
There is no such thing as a limited nuclear exchange between the major powers of the world. Exceptions might
include, say, North Korea lobbing
a few bombs at South Korea. But even there the risk of retaliation by larger powers in kind would be high. There would need to be very clearly
communicated and agreed upon steps by all sides in such an event. E.g. we would need China and Russia's confirmation that if we retaliated with a
single nuclear strike on DPRK, they wouldn't retaliate or interpret the launch as being against them. And there's no way to be sure they would ever
acquiesce to that, or that miscalculation wouldn't occur. Especially in the time sensitive nature of the scenario.
In any nuclear exchange between major world powers though (U.S. and Russia being the quintessential example,) it is the policy and plan
escalate to total annihilation on both sides. That was determined by both to be the only sure means of deterrent between them. So far, it has worked.
If it ever happens, we can all kiss our lives goodbye. There's no coming back from that. Civilization as we know it would be over. There's no scenario
in which Russia and the U.S. just launch a "limited exchange."
That's why the two seem to be perpetually locked into this proxy war all over the world. The Cold War supposedly ended but... not really, if you come
down to it. It just got even cooler. They can't end the game, so they keep playing it without their ultimate weapons. (Lucky for all of us.)
Could humanity itself survive? I think it's possible, but it's certainly not assured. Continuity of command plans and underground facilities - some of
which may be extensive and extremely well stocked by now - could ensure survival for a select few. Which could then go on to try to repopulate given
enough time. But it would be anything but a sure thing. Even barring radiation exposure, crop failures and food shortages, as well as a paucity of
potable water would be the main threats. Nuclear war is the worst thing that could happen to our species, short of an ELE extraterrestrial threat
It would essentially be the greatest threat to our species' survival since the Toba supervolcanic eruption (which is hypothesized to have caused our
numbers to dwindle to only 3,000 - 10,000. Although the theory is not yet conclusive, and remains controversial... a true nuclear exchange between the
world's superpowers could be even worse.)
edit on 10/5/2016 by AceWombat04 because: (no reason given)