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It will take until the weekend to know for sure how much damage Trump did to his candidacy on Monday. That’s when a slew of national and battleground-state polls taken after the debate are due to be published. The small amount of data we already have, though, suggests that Clinton can expect to enjoy a significant bounce. The Politico/Morning Consult poll is just one survey, but the numbers are telling.
Nine per cent of the respondents to the Politico/Morning Consult poll said the debate changed their minds about whom to vote for. Nine per cent of the electorate is a lot. If we assume that two-thirds of these voters switched to Clinton and one-third switched to Trump, which would be in line with the finding that Clinton won the debate by a two-to-one margin among respondents, we could expect the polls to swing in her favor by three per cent.
originally posted by: sooth
I'm more amazed that people still take debates seriously.
originally posted by: queenofswords
a reply to: ketsuko
He doesn't stay scripted and at first his "style" was criticized and picked apart.
But, we are now seeing, as people analyze what he was trying to say,
while maneuvering around the Lester Holt/Hillary Clinton playbook
originally posted by: Bluntone22
If you want to know who won or lost, who did damage or gained ground.
Look at the polls.
90 minutes of talking and no change.
Every scientific poll we’ve encountered so far suggests that voters thought Hillary Clinton beat Donald Trump in Monday night’s debate. In fact, some of them showed her winning by a wide margin — wide enough to make it a good bet (though not a guarantee) that she’ll gain in horse-race polls against Trump over the next week or so.