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WTNT34 KNHC 281457
TROPICAL STORM MATTHEW ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL142016
1100 AM AST WED SEP 28 2016
...TROPICAL STORM MATTHEW FORMS IN THE WINDWARD ISLANDS...
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
ABOUT 35 MI...55 KM SE OF ST. LUCIA
ABOUT 35 MI...55 KM ENE OF ST. VINCENT
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 275 DEGREES AT 21 MPH...33 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for the French Islands of
Guadeloupe and Martinique.
The government of Barbados has issued a Tropical Storm Warning for
Barbados, Dominica, and St. Vincent and the Grenadine Islands.
The government of St. Lucia has issued a Tropical Storm Warning for
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Guadeloupe and Martinique
* St. Lucia
* Dominica, Barbados, St. Vincent, and the Grenadine Islands
Interests in Bonaire, Curacao, Aruba, and elsewhere in the Lesser
Antilles should monitor the progress of Matthew.
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Matthew was
located near latitude 13.4 North, longitude 60.7 West. Matthew is
moving toward the west near 21 mph (33 km/h). A westward motion with
some decrease in forward speed is expected during the next couple of
days. On the forecast track, the center of Matthew will move
through the Windward Islands during the next couple of hours, and
move over the eastern Caribbean Sea through Friday.
Reports from an Air Force hurricane hunter aircraft indicate
that maximum sustained winds are near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher
gusts. Gradual strengthening is forecast during the next couple of
days, and Matthew could become a hurricane by Friday.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 205 miles (335 km)
primarily to the notheast of the center.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected to spread over
the southern Leeward Islands and northern Windward Islands witin
the next few hours and continue into this evening.
RAINFALL: Matthew is expected to produce total rainfall
accumulations of 4 to 8 inches across the Windward Islands and
southern portions of the Leeward Islands through Thursday. These
rains may produce life-threatening flash floods and mud slides.
Rainfall totals of 1 to 2 inches are expected farther to the north
into the northern Leeward Islands, including the United States and
British Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico.
Next intermediate advisory at 200 PM AST.
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.
originally posted by: usernameconspiracy
a reply to: Sillyolme
Hopefully this sucker either dies over the mountains or makes the projected turn North over the weekend. My happy arse is supposed to be on a Cancun beach, drink in hand a week from Friday!
originally posted by: Sillyolme
a reply to: usernameconspiracy
Cancun is seldom bothered by hurricanes. I know gulf and all but storms tend to move north west or north east. Cancun is south west of the region. They get them but not often if they do they come straight in from the east.
Matthew is forecast to move west north west towards Florida and the eastern seaboard. Still long way out but I wouldn't worry too much if I were you.
I'd worry more about crime in Cancun outside the resort area.
originally posted by: DontTreadOnMe
I'm worried about the Islands before it even gets to the US mainland.....the Caymans, Haiti, Cuba....Jamaica....who will likely get hit head on with a Cat4 or Cat5.
For those who are interested.....WU has some good storm coverage....especially the blogs on the right side of the page by Dr. Jeff Masters.