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So very, very narrowly, the keys point to a Trump victory. But I would say, more to the point, they point to a generic Republican victory, because I believe that given the unprecedented nature of the Trump candidacy and Trump himself, he could defy all odds and lose even though the verdict of history is in his favor. So this would also suggest, you know, the possibility this election could go either way. Nobody should be complacent, no matter who you're for, you gotta get out and vote.
Source
When the fix is in, all bets are off.
originally posted by: [post=21283584]Profusion
What do you think about this? Thirty years of accurate predictions seems awfully significant. It's especially incredible when you realize that the model we're discussing ignores the polls and many other factors that would seem to be relevant.
originally posted by: Xcalibur254
Normal prediction methods clearly can't be used this election cycle. Didn't we see a number of models that had been correct for X years saying Bernie would beat Hillary?
originally posted by: AboveBoard
a reply to: Profusion
Historical indicators cannot be accurate in a largely unprecedented election. George Wallace notwithstanding, I see no Clinton Landslide nor do I currently see a a Trump win, however, that could still change.
AB
(Your title is a little misleading??)
originally posted by: AboveBoard
a reply to: Profusion
Historical indicators cannot be accurate in a largely unprecedented election. George Wallace notwithstanding, I see no Clinton Landslide nor do I currently see a a Trump win, however, that could still change.
AB
(Your title is a little misleading??)