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But studies by Michael Bruter, professor of political science and European politics at the London School of Economics and Political Science, and his colleague, Dr. Sarah Harrison, have suggested that youth turnout was much higher. I spoke to Professor Bruter about the youth turnout figures and other crucial things people have misunderstood about this election.
o what was the youth turnout, according to your research?
I've just got the figures back from our other survey, which is from a fresh sample, and what we found is that turnout among voters eighteen to twenty-four was sixty-four percent. Now that is an estimate, because it's always an estimation, but it comes from an actual survey where people were asked whether they voted or not, and whether they registered or not. We also controlled for over-reporting of electoral participation, because people always have a tendency to tell you that they voted even if they did not. So even when you account for all of that, we find is that turnout among eighteen- to twenty-four-year-olds was about sixty-four percent. That would be the highest turnout among eighteen- to twenty-four-year-olds for the past twenty-five years.
Turnout among young people was sixty-four percent. That's the highest for any election for the past twenty-five years
This is a very different story to what we've been hearing.
Yeah, and this is a very important thing. That Sky data, they just took the answer from whether people voted out of nine out of ten or more on a zero to ten scale. They effectively confessed that it's not an actual turnout figure by any standard, just a prediction based on last year's data.
How can you measure people's emotional response?
. . . .
One of the things we always measure, I know it might sound silly, but it's actually important, is whether people cried when they heard the result of the election. What we found is that in this particular referendum, thirty-two percent of people told us they either cried or had tears in their eyes when they discovered the result of the vote. A small proportion were crying out of joy, but a much larger number, because they were Remain voters, were extremely sad.
originally posted by: paraphi
Here's a factual view of the referendum demographics, or rather a more reliable source as to how voting demographics were derived. Sky would have taken their statistics from a similar source, but either way there's consensus that young were less likely to vote than other age groups.
ONS - FOI
Why believe one bunch of London academics over another?
We do know that young people are less likely to get off their arses to vote. This is taken from studies and exit polls from previous elections. Therefore, if the view of the post-referendum research by others support previous trends then they are more likely to be accepted that two academics attempting to say something different.