Originally posted by Xerrog
If America truly becomes entrenched those carrier groups will be needed there. Moving them to protect Taiwan over our hundreds of thousands of
deployed troops would be insane. If we attack Iran and Syria you can bet Turkey will get involved in Syria. If Syria is attacked they will almost
assuredly attack Isreal in retaliation (even just a missle or two). Isreal will not back down from any threat so it would most likely move to strike
back. If Isreal strikes any muslim country outside of Palestine you can bet your ass Egypt and Jordan will get involved.
Egypt and Jordan are on basically friendly terms with the US but they wont stand by and watch Isreal attack anyone. If they came into the mix the US
couldn't afford to deploy anything beyond subs away from that region.
With America tied up it would be doubtful if the EU or Nato would be willing to risk direct confrontation with Russia. Nato without the US has done
little to nothing. The EU bickers to much internally to come to a conclusion about directly involving themselves with Russia.
Pakistan and India are being forced to be nice at the moment by the big boys. Once Russia, China, and the US are off their backs economically and
militarily it would take little to nothing to reingnite a conflict there.
And everyone knows no matter what the outcome would be Kim Jong Il is crazy enough to attack South Korea, and his troops are brainwashed enough not to
LETS leave fantasy and talk briefly about THE ISSUES.
1.) Russia and Georgia and the Russian's seem to have new missiles that can GET PAST the missile defense program the US seeks to employ and has
began to employ in ROGUE former Soviet "states." I have been looking to see if others noticed this "ticker" on the news (missiles). Implications
of THIS, and the oil Russia has is a HUGE branch of a potential war scenario.
2.) Iran and Israel tensions. There are implications here also.
3.) PAKISTAN/Afghanistan. This worries me. A while back, I told somebody, "If a NUKE accidentally went off over there, in Pakistan/Afganistan, it
would be a HORRIBLE ACCIDENT." News is pushing that terrorists are taking over PAKISTAN. Pakistan is SAID to have a nuklear aresnal although I DO
NOT know how many missiles, or what delivery systems for that matter they might have. I can see this being USED as an excuse to BOMB the said nuke
sites (but could probably be US DROPPING NUKES) as an easy end to the situation over there (easy in terms of life lost for U.S./Allied forces, and
MONEY). Biden said, "It won't appear we are right, but we'll need your support, not financially though." Powell said January 21st or 20th or
something like that. I feel this is VERY likely.
4.) WHAT are the actual force CAPABILITIES of world powers anyway. TECHNOLOGY, PREMPTIVE capabilities, etc.
U.S.: Army--outnumbered by China, but probably better technology. Navy--U.S. controls seas I believe although this is hard, one scenario I have is a
"ship" launches a missile and takes somewhere out, even by "accident." AIR FORCE; DOMINANT. Others are said to have this or that, but
experienced pilots, missile technology, smart-target capabilities; WE WOULD WIN most wars in terms of PREMPTIVE striking, and taking out power
structures, communication structions etc. WEAKNESS: HOLDING places, occupation is not what U.S. is made for. IF Osama is real, and engineered it,
then US brass is playing into it and has been ALL ALONG.
Other countries? What about DEFENSES? Sensor technology? Can they stop our subs? Can they stop Air Force attacks? I have a feeling the U.S. has
AURORA craft that can be in and gone with ORDINANCE DROPPED before defenses can even fire (modern defenses). What is it most don't know about? EMP?
Other defenses? Other weapons other than nukes?
--I THINK Russia, Iran, China, North Korea=threats.