I've started several threads on Donald Trump, from a critical perspective. To put it in a nutshell, I think that Trump is a dabbler in politics with
very little real understanding of the issues that he has promoted in his campaign. In that sense he is very representative of "the average American",
who knows about as much as Trump does about what is going on. The average American can truly say, on that basis, that Donald Trump is "one of us".
Trump is, as a result, a formidable political force.
The opposition that Trump has encountered in the Republican Party establishment and among significant numbers of ordinary Republicans comes from that
smaller number of Americans who know more about how politics works in the United States and know more about the political issues facing the country.
These people don't like Donald Trump's approach to politics or to dealing with political and social issues. They think that Donald Trump is
excessively authoritarian (fascist?), excessively rebellious, and possibly mentally unstable.
In short, they think he's a crackpot.
I think the short term future of America is in the hands of those on the Republican side of politics in the country who want to stop Donald Trump from
getting his hands on the levers of power in the country. It seems like the only way to do that would be to run a prominent third party candidate on
the right of the political spectrum (the Stop Trump Party?) which would split the Republican vote and either hand the presidency to Clinton, or force
a vote in Congress that would give the nation's highest office to a congressional choice, not Trump.
If this were to happen, would there be civil unrest? I think it is possible that there would be some trouble. The activity of a third party in
American politics is not unprecedented but the precedents are not contemporary ones. Many Americans might see such a maneuver, running a "Stop Trump"
candidate in a third party, as blatantly subversive of the normal electoral paradigm and take violent umbrage at it.
One can understand this, but in countries around the world where political opinion is fractured in the way that American public opinion is being
, the presence of multiple political parties is taken for granted.
Donald Trump's supporters will realize, hopefully, that the fracturing of American political opinion is Donald Trump's most profound contribution
to politics in the United States
and has been achieved without even having to win elected office.
Trump himself, if he has real weight and integrity as a political leader, if he is more that a lightweight flash in the pan, should take ownership
of this development and start to navigate as if it were an established fact and not a temporary anomaly. He does show signs of doing that, but there
are also signs of his being subsumed into the larger remnant of the established Republican matrix (endorsement by Dick Cheney!).
Problems will arise if Donald Trump's political supporters are not sophisticated enough to realize what has happened. A simple minded Trump centric
viewpoint will be tempted to cry "foul" at the obviously manipulative appearance of a "Stop Trump" political party. They might not see such a
development as being consistent with "freedom of speech", "freedom of assembly" or "the right to self determination" and, rather, view it as simple,
cynical chicanery. Such people could take to the streets.
It is very possible that Americans are going to be put into a position where, for the first time in generations, they will be able to understand and
experience why politics in places like Greece and France and Italy seem so turbulent and unsettled.
European politicians are used to shuffling over in their seats into coalitions, where clear majorities can't be obtained. Do parliamentary
systems accommodate better than presidential
ones to fractured political landscapes? Perhaps that's one of the things that makes European
politics different from the politics of South America (and "America"?).
In any case, we live in interesting times. It will be the responsibility of responsible politicians in the United States to guide Americans peacefully
into uncharted political territory. These coming months will be a challenge and a test of the maturity and good sense of the American political
establishment across the political spectrum.
edit on 16-5-2016 by ipsedixit because: (no reason given)
edit on 16-5-2016 by
ipsedixit because: (no reason given)