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originally posted by: matafuchs
a reply to: muse7
He has the highest favorability of the final 4 according to this poll...and others...it is starting to sway. He is also rising...The fact he can take now 50% of anything away from candidates still in...is very telling.
originally posted by: RoadCourse
I will vote for this dude because barely any politicians likes him.
Absolutely NO other reason.
Coming from someone who sees 'red flags' multiple times on a daily basis....
it speaks volume to me.
You're conflating swing states with battleground states. Every candidate knows (really ought to know) which states are swing states and target some of them as part of their electoral strategy. The battleground states are the ones that end up too close to call until the actual voting.
And as for the rest of your analysis...putting aside the issue of one poll vs another for the time being, I think it's silly to make a straight line projection from here to November. Heck, even an honest straight line projection would at least account for Trump's upward trend vs Hillary's downward trend.
Remember, she's going to have to be indicted probably no later than this summer when they've gone through all the emails. That and she has clearly been struggling with the pace of the campaign so far. It's more likely than not that we are already passed peak Hillary.
originally posted by: veracity
a reply to: Krazysh0t
some people (ahem, low information conservative voters) cannot admit they were wrong and will become delusional making up lies and believing them
originally posted by: plewis51
So YouGov reports Trump hits over 50% in poll favorability. But then also reports 51% of Americans think he is a fraud and a phony.
Most Americans Agree Trump is a 'Fraud' and a 'Phony'
originally posted by: phatpackage
a reply to: matafuchs
This poses huge problems for the GOP. I can't see him winning a brokered convention no matter how many primaries he wins or how many delegates he has on side. Too many within his own party don't like or want him and it would appear many believe they can work with Clinton more than him.
They also also have the problem if they don't run him as nominee many GOP people will not even vote on the day.
I like Trump a lot. He is the perfect "Romantic Dream" of what a politician should be. He speaks like the common person and tells them what they want to hear. I'm hoping if he does succeed and win his infectious charisma will spread to Australia and someone like him decides to run.