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How would you explain the first believers?
Your answer is, in my opinion, incorrect. Indoctrination could not possibly be a part of a religious belief...superstition on the other hand, absolutely could. Indoctrination is how it spreads, but not actually a part of the belief itself.
What constitutes (religious)belief?
Answer: Indoctrination, firstly.
Precisely, yet previously you said a religious belief is a product of indoctrination...but now you're saying religion is ultimately a product of imagination..
Indoctrination could not possibly be a part of a religious belief...superstition on the other hand
The main element of religious belief is the acceptance or rejection of something that one has heard about.
As an example, as a child I was scared of thunderstorms. I do not recall precisely what it was about them that frightened me, but I do recall I believed I was in some bodily danger. I came to the conclusion that under my bed was the safest spot. I was not indoctrinated into this belief.
I think I clearly demonstrated how a belief can develop WITHOUT indoctrination.