a reply to: MrSpad
Russian Armed Forces
Active personnel 771,000 (2014) (ranked 5th)
Reserve personnel 2,000,000
Turkish Armed Forces
Total 639,551, incl:(ranked 8th)
51,863 Civilian staff
4,702 Coast Guard
412,691 Military[nb 3]
Reserve personnel 378,700
Russia's ever growing 771,000 with 2 million in ready reserve is immensely larger than the Turks 412,691 with 378,700 in reserve.
The shear amount of Tanks, BMP's, Choppers, bombers and fighter aircraft would be overwhelming for Turkey to handle. They would have a tough fight for
a few weeks if that but after Russia would knock them on their backside and it would be nothing more than the suicide squads that would give them a
Russia would have air dominance in two maybe three days if they have help leaving everything on the ground to be slaughtered from above.
Russia could simply roll over Turkey and to think otherwise is a serious mistake. Russia does not fight like the U.S., they are less likely to avoid
vital targets just because some civilians might be near.
Saudi has already shifted its plans in response to the Russian promise to wipe their troops out. They have ordered their people out of Lebanon and
sent assets to areas off the Lebanon cost so they can attack through their and take Damascus fast, leaving Russia no time to save Assad's HQ. Turkey
has sent Subs to the area off the coast, opposite the Russian base in Syria to sink the Russian ships there that provide air defense and cruise
Turkey knows if they can sink Russian ships via subs the U.S. will be blamed initially and Russia will be forced to confront the U.S. , dragging us
into the mess and probably slowing down any Russian response to protect Assad.
I think this will sadly result in a tit for tat U.S.-Russia fight but after the two realize what its heading to, they will pull back and stop. Both
laying blame on Turkey but it being to late to save Syria, Russia will accept reality and move on picking up the pieces of a tattered military. Seeing
the U.S. and Russia occupied with each other will give all the Arabs the instant idea to attack Israel while they can, having a massive army on