Quake Watch 2016

a reply to: PuterMan
Good point about the pressure buildup (movement west)
the thing we need to know is WHEN is that snapping point?
I downloaded Geonets GPS daily readings for Cook Strait area for 10 years (13 stations), that should bring in a few M6 earthquakes
as I go through I might be able to see the cumulative movement before each one of those strong quakes, if it is there.




My overall impression from looking at the data is that it is like we are on a little boat floating on the sea, moving back and forth on the tides
i.e. the sea in this case is the earths outer core, which appears to be tidal (due to magnetism?)

39 minutes ago

6.9 Aftershock Solomon Islands
geofon.gfz-potsdam.de...

damn, I had just updated the 6.5+map an hour ago, before this

Geoscience Australia are saying 7.03Mwp
www.ga.gov.au...



* TSUNAMI WAVES REACHING 1 TO 3 METERS ABOVE THE TIDE LEVEL ARE
POSSIBLE ALONG SOME COASTS OF

LOCATION REGION COORDINATES ETA(UTC)
------------------------------------------------------------
KIRAKIRA SOLOMON ISLANDS 10.4S 161.9E 1939 12/09
AUKI SOLOMON ISLANDS 8.8S 160.6E 1943 12/09
HONIARA SOLOMON ISLANDS 9.3S 160.0E 1950 12/09

*Yet to arrive
MUNDA SOLOMON ISLANDS 8.4S 157.2E 2001 12/09
GHATERE SOLOMON ISLANDS 7.8S 159.2E 2014 12/09
PANGGOE SOLOMON ISLANDS 6.9S 157.2E 2033 12/09
ptwc.weather.gov...

Actual Affected locations
Date Name Country Tsunami wave height (m)
9-Dec-2016 19:23:64 Tetere Solomon Islands 0.5m
9-Dec-2016 19:14:38 Apaoro Solomon Islands 0.5m
9-Dec-2016 19:19:00 Oneoia Solomon Islands 0.4m
9-Dec-2016 19:32:38 Rumahui Solomon Islands 0.4m
9-Dec-2016 19:19:00 Suuruaharau Solomon Islands 0.4m
9-Dec-2016 19:35:38 Onehatare Solomon Islands 0.4m
9-Dec-2016 19:35:38 Bia Solomon Islands 0.4m
9-Dec-2016 19:41:38 Tunguiha Solomon Islands 0.2m
more (122 locations).

GDACS tsunami animation
webcritech.jrc.ec.europa.eu...

(1 hour, 11 minutes ago)
Date/Time
(UTC) 2016-12-09 21:38:23 UTC
Location Solomon Islands
Magnitude Mwp 6.1
Latitude 10.9442° S
Longitude 161.4025° E
Depth 13.99 km
ds.iris.edu...

I have a feeling that 7.8 was bigger than what they are saying

Well, at least Solomon has had their main aftershock. New Zealand is still waiting for theirs! I'll be in Wellington for Xmas and Nelson for Boxing Day. Please, no xmas natural disasters this year!

originally posted by: Anneke
Well, at least Solomon has had their main aftershock. New Zealand is still waiting for theirs! I'll be in Wellington for Xmas and Nelson for Boxing Day. Please, no xmas natural disasters this year!

My sis was in garland, tx last boxing day when the tornados rolled through. I feel like 2016 has a few more surprises left.

a reply to: phoenixlights321

I'd grab ur nuts hard if u gona be in nz in the next month,something big might be on the cards.. I feel,but I know nothing, just what I think.

a reply to: hiddenNZ

Sorry that was for the post above yours.

a reply to: hiddenNZ

Don't be scaring off the tourists now!
We will need all of them we can get once Trump tears up all the Trade agreements and our agricultural industries take a hit
Perhaps someone will start "earthquake tours" busing tourists around Marlborough to look at some of the land uplift along the coast and the big rips in the countryside.
Might only be of interest to the geologically minded but I bet the Japanese would be all over it, combine with a visit to a farm to pet some lambs and it's a surefire winner
I know I for one will be stopping at Waipawa Bay next time I'm passing through on the way to Christchurch or Dunedin, to check out the 16ft uplift there.
We always stop at Kaikoura for a crayfish meal, usually on the way home north, grab a cooked cray, drive on North to Picton, grab some hot chips and loaf of bread and some butter and chow down in the car while waiting in the queue to board the Ferry across Cook Strait. No Michelin Star restaurant could match that meal.

a reply to: muzzy

I believe that is a sound idea and would have many takers. Looking forward to "Muzzy's Quake Tours"

If I ever get to NZ I will go on one of these tours!

a reply to: muzzy

which appears to be tidal (due to magnetism?)

How about gravity? Every day the crust goes up and down about 55mm due to the pull of the moon.

Magnitude 6.1 - Solomon Islands
Location in IRIS Earthquake Browser

• Date-Time: Saturday, December 10, 2016 @ 16:24:36 UTC
  
• Earthquake location: 5.660°S, 154.488°E,
  
• Earthquake depth: 157.1 km
  
• Event ID: us20007ztn
  

Derived from Event Data Source: USGS
Powered by QVSData

EQ ID,Net Src,Date/Time UTC,Latitude,Longitude,Magnitude,Depth(Km),Location
20007ztn, us, 2016-12-10 16:24:36, -5.659, 154.488, 6.1, 157.0, Solomon Isls. (193)
20007zlq, us, 2016-12-09 19:10:07, -10.729, 161.107, 6.9, 20.5, Solomon Isls. (193)
20007zbn, us, 2016-12-08 21:56:07, -10.827, 161.304, 6.5, 14.6, Solomon Isls. (193)
20007z80, us, 2016-12-08 17:38:46, -10.676, 161.329, 7.8, 41.0, Solomon Isls. (193)

a reply to: PuterMan
As much as that?
Oh well there goes another theory.
No doubt someone else already thought of this and did the research, then discounted it.
Geonet got back to me Saturday night, Olivine was right on the button with the directions.
They seemed quite chuffed that someone was actually interested in this GPS stuff they put out.

They also pointed me where to get the Vertical direction as well, I haven't had a look yet but if the crust is already moving up and down 50mm a day then its going to be hard to spot anything unusual. As it happens KAPT actually went upwards more than it went north or east after the 7.8.
They say there is a margin of error of up to 2mm on each reading, which is as much if not more than the change of mm anyway under "background" circumstances.
I was going to do some maps using the GPS, but its getting more complicated, I'll have to make some new arrows to cover the various directions we are moving on a daily basis, its enough to make you dizzy. If the movement was x1000 we would all be falling over all the time.



I wonder if this is what is creating the waves on my Timeline graphs as well?
You can notice it on most of the longer term graphs, especially along the bottom where the micro quakes are at,
is it possible that the 50mm rise and fall of the crust is causing this?
each time the crust goes up or goes down the rock cracks slightly causing for example a .03 magnitude earthquake that only the seismos can detect.......

originally posted by: muzzy
a reply to: PuterMan
I wonder if this is what is creating the waves on my Timeline graphs as well?
You can notice it on most of the longer term graphs, especially along the bottom where the micro quakes are at,
is it possible that the 50mm rise and fall of the crust is causing this?
each time the crust goes up or goes down the rock cracks slightly causing for example a .03 magnitude earthquake that only the seismos can detect.......

I loaded them all to the blog on a separate page for reference yesterday, but for some reason couldn't get it to publish.
is on now
eqarchives.blogspot.co.nz...

a reply to: PuterMan
I see that one was near Bougainville in the north
I wonder if this is going to be a repeat of the ping-pong match of 11/4 and 21/4/2014?, when the quakes were back and forth between Bougainville and San Cristobal, discussion on ATS starts here with a 7.3

further to: muzzy
I had a look at the 10 years worth of data I downloaded showing KAPT vertical movement, the average error allowance is 5.8mm per day, the biggest being 13.06mm and the smallest being 3.12mm. I'm not sure if that is Putermans 50mm Global expansion and contraction?.
I'm building an Excel file with the east, west and vertical figures. Then I will do it for the other stations as well before building the daily maps. Its a slow process as some stations had days with no data, so the rows don't match up for the full 3650 days.

France
Date : 11/12/2016
Heure locale (Europe/Paris) : 22:27:21
Heure UTC : 21:27:21
Latitude : 48.61°
Longitude : -4.56°
Profondeur : 10 km
Magnitude : 3.9 MLv
renass.unistra.fr...

emsc felt reports

Felt this one,light here

Public ID 2016p935725
Intensity moderate
Universal Time December 12 2016, 5:14:20
NZ Daylight Time Mon, Dec 12 2016, 6:14:20 pm
Depth 33 km
Magnitude 5.0
Location 25 km south-east of Seddon
Latitude, Longitude -41.86, 174.23
www.geonet.org.nz...
1819 reports by the time I opened the page
2793 by the time I filled in my report to Geonet

a reply to: muzzy

Yeah I feel we are in for something big in the north island soon muzzy.....slow slip for a little while,its gona snag somewhere

I think the universe is trying to scare me away. First my flights got cancelled last week so I had to find new ones and now my bus from Napier to Wellington got cancelled! a reply to: muzzy

a reply to: muzzy

Hi Muzzy,

Should probably ask this in the Volcanoes thread but earthquake related, so......

Is all this intense activity in New Zealand changing anything around Lake Taupo? I don't mean Taupo causing it, i mean more that the earthquake activity causing new vents / land deformation, etc around Taupo. I have tried searching online and can't find any real new topographical data anywhere.

The reason i am asking is because of that paper last year that revealed super eruptions are not eruptions as such (ie classical volcano), more dome collapses causing super eruptions. Not meant as doom porn either, just genuine curiosity and an inability to find the answers myself!