It looks like you're using an Ad Blocker.
Please white-list or disable AboveTopSecret.com in your ad-blocking tool.
Thank you.
Some features of ATS will be disabled while you continue to use an ad-blocker.
originally posted by: intrepid
originally posted by: burdman30ott6
I would place a gentleman's bet on Jeb Bush being done, however.
Now that I rethink this.... saving him for 2020?
originally posted by: burdman30ott6
a reply to: IAMTAT
Trouble with that is, if Clinton falls, she takes a LOT of people with her... likely even Obama, himself.
originally posted by: whyamIhere
originally posted by: intrepid
originally posted by: burdman30ott6
I would place a gentleman's bet on Jeb Bush being done, however.
Now that I rethink this.... saving him for 2020?
I really believe she will be indicted by the FBI.
I have faith that we are all equal under the law.
She severely mishandled classified material.
There must be charges...
Hell no I don't want to bet.
originally posted by: burdman30ott6
a reply to: IAMTAT
Trouble with that is, if Clinton falls, she takes a LOT of people with her... likely even Obama, himself.
originally posted by: burdman30ott6
a reply to: the owlbear
He was an independent who has always caucused with the Democrats. That's no more an independent that Joe Lieberman was.
originally posted by: MystikMushroom
a reply to: burdman30ott6
You also have to wonder about who actually responds to these polls. We used to get calls all the time, and we'd never answer or answer honestly. We'd always mess with them.
A good poll would show the demographics of its sample, I'm sure that some do...I just haven't seen any lately or bothered to check. I ought to, though...
originally posted by: Informer1958
Even Los Vegas bookies are betting that Hillary will get 51% of the votes.
Nothing like having the first women for President corrupt or not. The fix is in. Enjoy the next four years of nothing for We The People.
originally posted by: burdman30ott6
a reply to: IAMTAT
Trouble with that is, if Clinton falls, she takes a LOT of people with her... likely even Obama, himself.
I think you give her too much credit. She's not that bright.
originally posted by: musicismagic
originally posted by: burdman30ott6
a reply to: IAMTAT
Trouble with that is, if Clinton falls, she takes a LOT of people with her... likely even Obama, himself.
HIliary is an expert at chess playing. She has her soldiers ready if needed to protect her.
originally posted by: whyamIhere
I heard an interview on Talk Radio.
Trumps numbers were over 20% higher when the machine asks poll questions.
When another human asks...Many won't say Trump.
I find that hilarious...Throw the polls out on this one.
Why Donald Trump Performs Better in Online Polling
Republicans are more likely to say they want Donald Trump in the White House if they are taking a poll online versus in a live telephone interview. And, if you’re a highly-educated or engaged Republican voter, it turns out that you’re far less likely to tell another human being you want Trump as president.
That’s what we found in a new Morning Consult study, where we aimed to answer a prominent question raised by Trump’s sustained lead in the polls: Does he perform better online than on the phone?
We interviewed 2,397 registered Republicans and Republican-leaning independents over a week in mid-December and varied how they completed the survey to answer this question. Respondents started the survey online, and about one-third continued to answer questions about Trump and other Republican primary candidates online. Another third answered those same questions with a live interviewer on the phone, and the final third answered the questions with an automated voice on the phone, known as interactive voice response (IVR).
Thirty-eight percent of people who answered questions on the internet chose Trump for president, compared with 32 percent who chose him on the phone with a live interviewer and 36 percent who answered questions via an automated voice on the phone. That six point difference was not seen with other candidates between the different polling methods. Ted Cruz, for example, did about 2 points better on live telephone, as did Ben Carson. Jeb Bush had no difference between the methods.
Trump performed even worse on the phone with a live interviewer if the respondent had some college education. Among adults with a bachelor’s degree or postgraduate degree, Trump performs about 10 percentage points better online than via live telephone. And, among adults with some college, Trump performs more than 10 percentage points better online. Conversely, Republicans with a high school education or less favored Trump on the phone over online.
There was also a split between engaged voters—people who say they are very interested in the election, or have previously voted in primaries or midterms—and the general registered voter population. Trump’s advantage in online polls compared with live telephone polling has a spread of eight to nine percentage points among these engaged voters.
What explains Trump’s worse numbers on the phone? One possible explanation is “social desirability bias,” or in other words, people being reluctant to select Trump when talking to another person because they do not believe it will be viewed as a socially acceptable decision. Trump is not the pick of the political pundits, and people intuitively get that.
originally posted by: whyamIhere
Throw the polls out on this one.
originally posted by: ketsuko
Isn't that how Obama climbed up into the Senate? Lawsuits and the mysterious release of his opponents' dirty laundry?
Bernie seems to have learned from Chi-town politics. Maybe the information breach at the DNC wasn't quite as much of an accident as everyone thinks ...