posted on Nov, 19 2015 @ 09:15 AM
The Russians have confirmed
they have closed a deal with the Chinese for the sale of 24
Su-35s for the price of $2 billion.
I think this has a lot of very, very
1. It sure seems as though the Chinese feel their knockoff of the Su-27 (J-11) will not be enough to deal with whatever military challenges they are
going to face. I'd expect that to some extent: the J-11, even with updating, will be facing F-22s, F-35s and several ASEAN nations are looking at
Su-27s and Su-35s of their own. Parity is a bad place to be. In light of that, the purchase makes perfect sense. The Chinese can clone the Su-35
like they have the Su-27.
2. HOWEVER! This strongly implies any indigenous developments will not be ready in the same time frame as a Su-35 knockoff: either the Chinese are
facing problems with their production or they do not think they can afford as many as they need. This would strongly imply they are having problems
with the J-20 and/or the J-31.
The problems may be the stealth materials and/or the jet engines. Both are tough nuts to crack, especially with quality control for multiple
manufacture rather than customized prototypes.
So! It may be the 5th gen fighters the Chinese are developing have a delivery date that has been pushed back significantly, since the time frame of
an Su-35 clone would still be at least 5 years out from now at the earliest. The J-20 has been touted as having an IOC in 2017. This would mean at
least 2020, if not 2022 or later.
Or so I think. Time for all y'all to poke holes.