I was thinking about the relatively calm weather we have had this year(and in years past), and decided to take a look and see what the stats have to
say. The main reason I bring this up is that we have had MANY politicians/climate scientists use current weather as an argument for the legitimacy of
AGW, and thus the urgent need to reduce CO2 emissions.
The story in the headline is from Jan 2015, so it is not taking into account this years tornado season, but I will divulge into that as well as the
reduction in hurricanes.
The number of tornadoes and the intensity of these storms has been decreasing dramatically over the last 4 years. Now remember, this was being used as
a main argument for the validity of AGW back in 2011. I don't think using a small sample of years as proof is logical, but since the top climate
scientists have, I might as well also.
Considering the number of storm watchers has increased as well as the population, and technology to identify tornadoes, it would only make sense that
the number of tornadoes increase every year. Now obviously the 2015 tornado season is still underway, but I wanted to give you an idea of how this
year is stacking up to years past.
In 2014, there were a total of 888 confirmed tornadoes. There were 20 EF3's, 7 EF4's, and 0 EF5's.
In 2015, so far we have had 486 confirmed tornadoes. There were 10 EF3's, 1 EF4, and 0 EF5's.
There is no doubt that we will have many more tornadoes before the year is through, but the most prolific tornado generating months are past us.
It looks like 2015 is going to be even quieter than the last 3 years, which is simply absurd given the rhetoric of the climate alarmist community. We
might need to go back to the 1800's to find a time with fewer tornadoes here soon, and that really isn't fair as hundreds of tornadoes would have gone
unnoticed every year back then.
Now onto Cyclones/Tropical Storms/Hurricane statistics.
It is only within the last 50 years that technology has reached the point where we are able to identify accurately the amount and intensity of
hurricanes/cyclones/tropical storms etc...
Without satellite technology we really had little clue as to what was going on in our oceans. This doesn't affect recent records, but is something to
consider when comparing current data to historical data.
Now, a big claim by the climate alarmists as to why warming has pretty much stopped for the last 20 years, has been that the oceans have been soaking
up all of that heat. Warmer water = more energy to create more violent storms. If true, it really is the perfect recipe for disastrous hurricane
seasons. Knowing all of this, the number of hurricanes as well as their intensity should be increasing exponentially. Let's take a look at the
Atlantic hurricane season.
From 2010-2012 we had above average overall storm activity when compared to previous years. In 2012 of course we had Hurricane Sandy, and all 3
seasons were basically a tie for third most active, at least at some during the year. Obviously it fits in with the 2011 tornado season being above
average, so it's looking like the rhetoric being used by climate alarmists at that point can be somewhat backed up with actual stats.
Why don't we take a look at the data -
From 2010-2012 we had an average of 4 Major hurricanes each year. The total number of hurricanes was 29, cyclones 60, and tropical storms 57. Above
average, but nothing serious when compared to hurricane data over the last 50 years.
Now when we look at 2013, we see that there were 0 Major hurricanes, ONLY 2 total hurricanes, 15 cyclones, and 14 tropical storms.
Similar stats are seen in 2014 with 2 major hurricanes, ONLY 6 total hurricanes, ONLY 8 tropical storms, and ONLY 9 cyclones.
Of course the 2015 season is still ongoing, and since we have not reached the peak month for activity, I am sure we will see a few more storms before
it is done. Let's take a look anyways and see where we are at. So far there have been 0 Major hurricanes, 0 total hurricanes, 2 tropical storms, and 2
So what can we take away from this data? The number of tornadoes/hurricanes is decreasing. The number of deadly/powerful tornadoes/hurricanes is
decreasing, and has been for years. Again this is a small data set, but climate scientists/politicians felt the need to use recent weather as an
indication that AGW is real and very dangerous. This thread is only set out to debunk those claims, as nobody in the MSM, or media of any kind seems
to want to report on the truth.
Main article referenced - US tornado count at its lowest 3 year total
edit on 3-8-2015 by c0gN1t1v3D1ss0nanC3 because: (no reason given)