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originally posted by: maddy21
originally posted by: MrSpad
originally posted by: Agit8dChop
Assad doesn't have any support?
After ISIS sacked Palmyra, I'd say Assad has his country on his side. He's facing off against western back rebels and ISIS/ISIL. Why on earth would regular Syrians go against Assad at the risk of an ISIS victory?
If the US wasn't so frikken stupid and hungry for blood and profits, they'd be backing Assad in every way possible and smashing ISIS.
They would be demanding Israel use its Jets to bomb ISIS as well
Stupid Americans know nothing but what is on FOX NEWS - your sleep walking into a major conflict and you don't eve realize your applauding it.
Assad is done. His Army prefers to run from ISIS so they can go off and defect to the rebels. He desperately needs more Iranians, Lebanese and Hezbollah because they will fight and not defect. The US would be foolish to back Assad because he simply will never be allowed by the Syrian people to retake power. What is left of his territory is the Capital area and the coast. Everything else is been taken over by some other group all of whom are hostile to Assad. At this point it is going to be a race between the Western backed rebels and ISIS to capture as much of Assads territory before the other does. On the plus side the rebels will keep gaining man power from defections. Then the real fight begins because all the other dozens of factions will have chose one of two sides. Join ISIS or join the Rebels.
Defections are common. AL Nusra defecting to ISIS, FSA defecting to Assad. It does not mean Assad is done for. Assad has considerable amount of support in Syria. Assad can in no way survive for 4 years if he did not have the backing and support of the people and the military. Agreed , currently he seems to be on the backfoot but he still holds Vast amounts of territory and 15,000 could very much be a game changer. The only reason US does not want to support Assad is because it wants to see Syria turned into a Hellhole with Factions fighting each other.
Besides, first encounter b/w Hezbollah and ISIS hasn't gone too well for ISIS after, they were Ambushed at several places...
originally posted by: samjonesy
a reply to: MrSpad
FSA has pretty much dissolved becoming alnusra and isis. Originally FSA was founded by syrian officeers, but it is not true that syrian units have been defecting like you say.
maddy21 is right when he said "Assad can in no way survive for 4 years if he did not have the backing and support of the people and the military." Also, Isis never turned on Assad, they were always against them. They have always been doing Isreals and US's will inSyria and Iraq.
Instead of Isreal complaining about Iran like the Jpost headline reads ( Iran spending billions to back Assad ) , Isreal should be ecstatic, but nooooh, not at all.
originally posted by: MrSpad
Defections by one or two people are common. When the Syrian Army meets the FSA they go over in entire units. The core of the FSA is units that defected. They also have no wish to die fighting ISIS for Assad. The get the heck out and wait to defect to the rebels.
originally posted by: MrSpad
This is why Assads massive Army never does anything. Assad has lasted as long as he has because when ISIS came along the double teamed the FSA and their Kurdish allies and avoided fighting each other. Once the rebels had been beaten back ISIS turned on the other radical groups and the Assad as well.
originally posted by: MrSpad
If ISIS or he rebels did not have to deal with each other Assad would be done. As is he is still going to be done just at a slower rate. In particular when US and Turkish air power are finally brought against Assads forces. Something they avoided to deal with ISIS first.
originally posted by: MrSpad
However Assads forces are falling to quickly to ISIS so the rebels are going to divide focus from ISIS and make pushes against both. Can not have ISIS taking all of Assad's equipment. Of course from people who have interviewed Assad as of late he seems completely clueless about what is going on. Claiming they are advancing on every front. The question is has Assad lost it like some think, or is he like Saddam being lied to by his staff.