- Or how global migration may trigger world war three. -
In this thesis I will try to explain a possible way in which the western power might be broken. The thesis will reflect upon the current global
situation and take into account some of the future influences that will play a role in the threats facing the west.
Below a list of sources used as reference:
While eyes are facing in the Middle-East as well as Russia we are contemplating how this can create a problem for the west once it expands. While I
believe it is true that Russia is trying to use the situation in the Ukraine to its advantage. And that Russia might possibly exploit the recent vote
incident in Kaliningrad to isolate Lithuania if it gets the chance I believe that will not trigger world the incident that threatens the west
The current real problem is more long term. With the war against IS raging the amount of people fleeing the Middle-East is vast. Most of these people
travel to Europe and most of these people have Islamic religion in their background. Due to the low birth rate in Europe as well as the surplus of
additional Islamic refugees the general population will chance. In fact; research indicates that in 2050 most European countries will start to have a
dominant Islamic majority.
This change in demographic will cause a change in the rules as well. Thou many Islamic people might be considered moderate; many will sympathize with
the cry for more traditional Islamic values and rulings. Such chance will collide with the native European population who has a traditional Christian
background with contemporary rulings common in western democratic nations.
The lack of Europe to pro-actively stop the flow of refugees, and more important, sending them back again when the possibility arrives is the result
of a mass Stockholm syndrome European nations suffer. While it is understandable that refugees should enjoy safety, a major problem in Europe is
expelling people who can safely return back to their original home countries. Many a times people can start procedure after procedures and enjoy
rulings that prevent expulsion. This European behavior is due to a massive guilt by both the aftermath of World War 2's genocide as well as the
slavery and colonization era of Europe.
It is only recently that European civilians are starting to rise up against the exceptional position of refugees. Refugees often get houses even
before homeless people in Europe and often get monthly payouts from the state they are in that are higher then those native and homeless in the nation
and often enjoy free counseling and legal support to fight against expulsion. While the population is gradually starting to turn against such
measures, politically Europe doesn't change; Politically the will to change is frozen due to the fear of being called a racist or nationalist. As a
result change hardly ever happens.
Around 2030 this passive behavior will give the Islamic populace the moment they will need to force political chance by voting in Europe. This will
create tension between the two vastly different cultures. In such a situation only a single spark is needed to create a region wide war in Europe.
While Germany, the UK and France have great armies; many of the smaller countries have favored to shrink their armies to save money. On top of the
most of the Islamic populace of Europe is hosted in the major cities and provided with the high grade decentralized infrastructure of Europe.
This war would destroy Europe's internal power as it would be facing a patchwork of battles while at the same time facing a almost limitless supply of
Islamic fighters from the Middle East.
By that time Russia will have completed its own modernization of its army. With Europe shattered in internal conflict Russia has a potential strike at
Eastern Europe and will meet with very little concentrated European defense. Instead Russia will face separate armies from individual countries that
aren't backed up by the major European military forces due to the civil wars.
At the same time America will be facing a strong China and might not be able to spend forces in Europe as Chine might take the Pacific Ocean in
I am sorry for pointing directly to sources. I really want to make maps for this. But I currently lack the time to do it. This viewpoint is written
from a European viewpoint. Let it be known; I have nothing against any religion...as long as religion and politics remain seperated.
4-6-2015 by AncientShade because: (no reason given)