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originally posted by: tridentblue
a reply to: ketsuko
It still doesn't matter, that sounds like stats manipulation to me. Half of the world lives off less than $2.50 a day, yet the average global income is $50 a day. It doesn't matter if half the world is outputting 1.9 children for each couple, if the other half of the world is outputting 7. All that matter is the big picture. That picture is that every year, the population grows by 1.1%, which makes for an exponentially increasing population just like the OP is concerned about. Everything else is local and anecdotal.
edit: Here is some good data though:
It includes projections till 2100, which include positive growth, but a constant decrease. Why is that, and what force is supposed to drive those numbers down?
My point is that if say, 1.2% is the rate at which people want to have children, why are they SO confident that rate will decrease? Interesting and creepy.