Many feel that the US is building up to a new civil war, there are some extremely deep divides between us these days and it takes less than 5 minutes
of conversation to get the average voter to utter the phrase "If we could just kill/deport (group X) things would be better".
So here's the question, if we were to break into another Civil War what do you believe the sides would be? Keep in mind that there may be more than
two sides. What would be the dividing lines or the alliances? Would it be political? geographic? economic? all of the above? Would any states try
and secede? Would the government let that happen? Would secessionists be yet another group in the war?
When the dust settles, what do you think the outcome would be?
I'll go first. I see the US breaking along geographic and political lines. Yet again it would be the poor southern states against the rich northern
states. You would have the area of the northern colonies (Maryland and up) fighting against the south (say South Carolina down) with the southern
states attempting to secede from South Carolina to Texas+Arizona. New Mexico would be a battleground with Texas and Arizona attacking it from
different sides to secure supply routes. States in the east that are caught in the middle like Ohio and Virginia wouldn't secede but would become
hotbeds of guerrilla fighting and domestic terrorism from both sides with frequent clashes between their urban and rural counterparts, this would hold
true through the midwest north of Oklahoma. The western states I think would attempt to secede for the duration of the war (which would then become
permanent) and declare neutrality with Washington, Oregon, and Utah becoming sanctuaries. California would deport people to those other states due to
In the end I see the west remaining their own country and great tensions between them and the colonial area as to which has claim as being the true
remaining US. The colonial area would have gone largely liberal (well liberal for the US), and ultimately wins the war due being able to hire more
troops but this time can't reunify the south. In their victory they have something of a French Revolution and kill the modern day aristocrats. The
south secedes and goes further right than the tea party, and writes themselves a less ambiguous constitution that people living there are happy with,
but is largely a Christian theocracy. New Mexico falls with the help of the drug cartels in Mexico (who are brought in as cheap soldiers against
Blackwater type mercs) and gets annexed by the new southern US. The midwest area never officially leaves but uses it's status to act as a buffer area
with the west, which it uses to collect taxes on trade goods and becomes something of a DMZ.
The war itself would start with the military dividing and choosing sides, but before long the equipment would be destroyed, as would the factories to
rebuild it. This would reduce the fighting to infantry platoons fighting in cities, and lots and lots of guerrillas/terrorist acts. Due to low
supplies the military would contract out most of the soldiers to firms like Blackwater, making the war really between groups of privatized mercs with
civilians doing their own small independent things. The only military equipment that would remain in the militaries hands would be naval units like
subs tasked specifically with preventing invasion and left alone to fulfill their mission by all involved. The Pacific would be covered with the
wests neutrality while the Atlantic would be assisted by the Europeans.
Nuclear weapons would not be used in the conflict, out of fear that it could make each group lose legitimacy in the eyes of the rest of the world and
provoke attack. Small scale chemical weapons would however be used extensively for terrorist acts and constant cyber attacks would greatly impede
most economic development with bitcoin becoming the currency of necessity when they could keep some internet up (physical bitcoins for when they
couldn't), and gold/silver/oil futures being the currency of the south. The west would stick to the USD but remove the Federal Reserve (since they
seceded, why not?) and the midwest being in the middle of it all would accept anything.
And so I propose one more question if you've gotten this far. Who would you side with, and why? If you don't agree with my prediction, how do you
see it playing out, and who in that prediction would you side with?
edit on 13-5-2015 by Aazadan because: (no reason given)