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originally posted by: MrSpad
The real problem France has is that US companies are going to be first in the door to Iran. At some point they will get a promise of some percent of contracts down the road. However, that have just seen the US gei in the door first in India, Vietnam, Myanmar, and Cuba. They are going to want a piece of all those pies as well.
originally posted by: xuenchen
You are aware that the IAEA is the outfit that has historically had problems with enforcement right?
Why is there even any new "negotiations" going on?
... It must be something else.
Maybe like the sanctions and maybe the vested interests by at least 3 separate power groups in the pending natural gas pipelines.
Monitoring and Verification in Iran
originally posted by: neoholographic
This is just wrong. First off, Iran has broken just about every deal they have made. Secondly, Iran knows Obama is desperate to do a deal just to defy those who disagree with him. Because it's a sin to disagree with Dear Leader. The same thing happened after the 2014 elections. Obama was determined to show everyone that he wont be stopped and he's still talking about that and that's why he mentioned mandatory elections.
Already a bad deal. The U.S. wanted 500-1500, then 4,000 now they're up to 6,000. There's a reason the U.S. only started out wanting between 500-1500.
THE U.S. BELIEVES IRAN'S MISSILE PROGRAM IS AIMED AT CREATING DELIVERY SYSTEMS FOR NUCLEAR WARHEADS!!!
The question of if we want them to have these delivery systems is a whole other debate. I don't think there's any justifiable reason to say they can't have short or medium range missiles, all nations are entitled to self defense. Long range is more of a question, but what right do we have to say they can't?
And so Iran has nothing to fear. They especially have nothing to fear because Obama is relying on Iran to help stymie the growth of ISIS in Iraq. That’s also why Obama seems to care little about Iranian-backed Bashar Assad’s continuing atrocities or the threats of Hezbollah against Israel. Obama has crafted Iran as a counterweight to Israel and Egypt in the region. All Obama asks in return for this kindness to Iran is that the mullahs wait to go nuclear until he leaves office. That’s a great bargain for the Iranian government, and they’re taking it with glee.
Iran currently has 19,000 centrifuges, 9,000 of which are running and 10,000 that are installed but not operating. Israel’s position is that Iran should have zero centrifuges. The reason is that if Iran truly needs enriched uranium for civilian purposes, it could import enriched uranium as do roughly 15 other countries, such as Canada, Mexico, and Spain. The Israeli position is in line with six UN Security Council resolutions that were adopted between 2006 and 2010, with the support of Russia and China. If Iran eliminated all of its centrifuges and then chose to build new centrifuges, the process would take four to five years. There would be ample time to detect Iran’s efforts to enrich uranium beyond what is needed for civilian purposes and to organize an international response.
In addition to the number of centrifuges that Iran has, there is also the issue of the amount of enriched uranium that Iran has already stockpiled. With enough low-enriched uranium, Iran can make a final push to weapons-grade uranium for an atomic bomb. Robert Einhorn, the former special advisor for nonproliferation and arms control during the Obama administration, has calculated that if Iran uses 1,500 kilograms of low-enriched uranium and inserts it into 2,000 centrifuges, Iran will have one bomb’s worth of weapons-grade uranium in 12 to 14 months.4
But from what we know today about the impending nuclear deal, Iran will need much less time to “breakout” to a bomb. According to multiple press reports, Western negotiators have raised the ceiling for the number of centrifuges that Iran will be allowed to have: they have gone from 1,500 to 4,500, and they now appear to be ready to let the Iranians have 6,000 centrifuges.5 According to Einhorn’s calculations mentioned above, with 1,500 kilograms of enriched uranium and 6,000 centrifuges, Iran can produce enough weapons-grade uranium for an atomic bomb in six months.6
The fact is, if Iran just wanted a peaceful nuclear energy program, why not import it? Why are they testing things like the ir-5 which will enrich uranium even faster which they say they have "disconnected."?