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originally posted by: eriktheawful
a reply to: PeterMcFly
This is just weather a weather event, and one that's not unheard of either for our areas.
Now if it were to pound say Florida with snow, year after year, that certainly would be a climate change!
I'm tired of it being cold and not being able to at least enjoy some snow. It either needs to warm up, or drop some snow.
WINTER STORM UPDATE: Okay, listen up! Many of you could be impacted by a winter storm next week. I want to start getting a bit more detailed with everything this weekend, so that you can start to prepare.
Model guidance is now coming into agreement that a widespread winter storm will be impacting parts of the South next week. Who gets what will be highly dependent on the track of this storm, not necessarily the timing of cold air moving over the area (which has been the issue all winter).
I went against all of the forecast models in my article a few days ago, and it's looking like it's going to end up being a pretty good call. You don't want the moisture to get too suppressed to the south; otherwise, you miss the moisture. I don't expect that to occur at this time. The reason I went against the consensus was because typically storms develop further to the south with the kind of Arctic airmass that will be pushing south next week. Also, southern storms tend to develop after one Arctic airmass has already pushed through.
Initially, places like Oklahoma, Arkansas, southern Missouri, and possibly even northern Louisiana will be impacted with frozen precipitation (snow and/or ice). As the low pressure system deepens and moves east along the Gulf Coast, parts of Tennessee, northern and central MS, northern and central AL (including Birmingham), northern and central GA (including Atlanta), Upstate SC (and possibly midlands), and a good portion of North Carolina will likely be impacted with snow and/or ice. This looks to be a winter event that will begin Sunday night further west and last until Wednesday further east.
If the moisture doesn't get suppressed too far south (which I don't think it will), then all of the areas that I mentioned will likely be dealing with a winter storm. Tennessee and surrounding areas could be on that precipitation line, so the track of this system will determine if they get much of anything. At this time, I DO NOT believe that the heaviest precipitation will be over TN like the models were showing yesterday but further to the south, but that doesn't mean that TN won't get snowfall over that area, given that it won't take as much moisture to produce higher snowfall accumulations.
For those of you relying on mobile apps, don't! Most forecasts these days are generated by computers, NOT humans. As we get closer to the event, hopefully models will become more consistent, therefore, you weather apps will be a bit more consistent.
IF I have time, I will have an article out either late afternoon or tonight. I tried uploaded another video, and yet again, it's having issues uploading. I'll post it here if it eventually uploads. Another winter storm for parts of the South is now on the table for late next week, and I will talk about that if that becomes more likely.