posted on Dec, 16 2004 @ 09:20 AM
Firstly, good post. And yeah, it is worrying whenever two governments that resist US policy start getting cozy in a military sense. But the below
extract from your post seems a bit far-fetched to me:
"couple China's industrial capacity with the old Soviet technology, and Russia's extra land to take China's excess population, and then combine
the two largest countries in the world, and you have a monstrous superpower on a scale that has never been witnessed before."
I just don't see that happening...I mean, the two countries may be holding joint war games, but that doesn't mean their going to form one country. I
mean, the US and Canada have been holding joint war games for almost a hundred years, and the Canadians don't have any intention of becoming the
fifty first state. The Russians have a long history of resisting invasions of sovereignity in the face of terrible odds... I just don't see the
russian peopletossing all that away to join with China, a historic enemy.
On the other hand, this is concerning in a very long-term sense. But a very, very, very long term sense. Russia is still a very shaky country. China
is much less so, but it still lacks a general nation misson (in a global sense). This is all my opinion of course, but I believe that among the
requirements to be a superpower, none is more vital than a sense of International Mission. Without Mission, the country lacks the will to assert
itself outside it's regional interests, and thus confines itself to it's own part of the world.
Unless China were threatened by a terrorist group far away from it's borders (perhaps al qaeda), Taiwan still tops the list of international concerns
for it. And of course, international terrorists have no reason to attack China because China is not involved in MiddleEast on the scale that America
is, a situation that is unlikely to change in the near future.
I (like many Americans) just wish that the Taiwan issue would go away. As for the mainland itself, we can't expect it to become democratic overnight.
We have to be realistically patient, and just hope that the country moves in the direction we want it to, so that IF it acquires a Mission, and
directs its energies towards becoming a superpower, it is one that will be friendly to America. Otherwise, we're in for a whole new cold war.
Anyways, only time will tell whether things keep getting better or if we take a big step backwards. Maybe wars between major nations are a thing of
the past, in which case, China could be a potential ally in the War on Terror (asssuming it still rages when China becomes a superpower). Either way,
I just think that this is all very far away.