If I had the time, I'd pull out the stats for you.
The OP is correct, there is a negative birth rate in all first world countries.
Japan is the example of what the world will become.
Countries like Mexico, Iran etc. are teetering on the brink of a negative birth rate.
The only countries with high birth rates right now also have high morality rates.
What happens when you take people with historically high birth rates and move them to a first world country?
The first generation are rabbits because they don't know better, the second generation have close to negative birth rate, the third generation have
negative birth rate.
The only way to keep a population stable is to regularly import totally uneducated people, preferably children and keep them undereducated or convince
them to put peer pressure on each other not to engage in education voluntarily beyond the minimum required in the country they immigrate to.
For a long time the US was successful at keeping black people permanently in the breeding underclass. The ghettoized are still quite good at
convincing young people education is a bad thing, and the black leadership has ignored this which has perpetuated it.
Then free or nearly free
abortion came along for the underclass and now black people are killing far more fetuses than live births, thus negating them as a closely held
breeding underclass, relegating them to a low wage underclass due to the normalization of a negative attitude toward education.
The Mexican's were the next breeding underclass in the US. However, they never embraced the disdain for education which quickly led to them rising
out of a breeding class,
along with changes in their country of origin that led to a more stable and far lower birth rate.
There are fewer and fewer options in the world to import a breeding class. The children the US stole from South America will only be a breeding
class for one or at the most two generations.
Obama as much as admitted this when he said if we closed the borders
social security would go totally bust.
Eventually, there will be no breeding class to steal children from.
By this time, if not sooner
there WILL BE such a rise in robotics
that the jobs available
will only be for the educated elite
and it will be necessary
for there to be no breeding underclass
for the elite to survive in comfort.
At that time the underclass and middle class
will be convinced
as the OP suggests
to annihilate themselves
low marriage rates
extremely low birth rates
with just enough low and middle class
left to do the jobs robots can not
and the elite don't want to do.
Yes, the programming of people is quite deep
that there is a population problem
if birth rates/death rates
remain on their current trajectory
(which is a higher population for about 20 or so more years
then a steep decline in population)
ending in projected extinction
in about 500 years
By that time AI will have
taken over the world
the elite will have fallen
to the AI
and the AI will either
or keep just enough
humans to do what they
find they can not do
or keep a small zoo supply of humans
edit on 8Sun, 04 Jan 2015 08:09:26 -0600am10401amk040 by grandmakdw because: addition format